Stanford University

Security

FSI scholars produce research aimed at creating a safer world and examing the consequences of security policies on institutions and society. They look at longstanding issues including nuclear nonproliferation and the conflicts between countries like North and South Korea. But their research also examines new and emerging areas that transcend traditional borders – the drug war in Mexico and expanding terrorism networks. FSI researchers look at the changing methods of warfare with a focus on biosecurity and nuclear risk. They tackle cybersecurity with an eye toward privacy concerns and explore the implications of new actors like hackers.

Along with the changing face of conflict, terrorism and crime, FSI researchers study food security. They tackle the global problems of hunger, poverty and environmental degradation by generating knowledge and policy-relevant solutions. 

Former Foreign Minister of Russia, Andrei Kozyrev. “The Future of U.S.-Russian Relations”

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As the Trump administration prepares to take office, it joins with the previous incoming Bush and Obama administrations in promising to improve U.S.-Russian relations. However, both President Bush and Obama left office with relations far worse than when they took office. Andrey Kozyrev, the first Foreign Minister of the newly independent Russian Federation, will discuss his views on the future prospects of the relationship, and examine some of the deep-rooted issues that contribute to current political tensions between our countries.

Andrei Kozyrev is the former Foreign Minister of the Russian Federation. In 1974 he graduated from the Moscow State Institute for International Relations and subsequently earned a degree in Historical Sciences. He joined the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in 1974 and served as head of the Department of International Organizations from 1989-1990. He became the Foreign Minister of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic in October 1990 and retained his position when the Russian Federation gained independence in 1991.Kozyrev was an early proponent for increased cooperation between the United States and Russia and advocated for the end of the Cold War. He was a participant in the historic decision taken in December 1991 between the leaders of Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine to peacefully dissolve the Soviet Union. As Russia’s first Foreign Minister, Kozyrev promoted a policy of equal cooperation with the newly formed independent states of the former Soviet Union, as well as improved relations with Russia’s immediate neighbors and the West.Kozyrev left the post of Foreign Minister in January 1996, but continued in politics by representing the northern city of Murmansk in the Russian Duma for four years. Since 2000, Kozyrev has lectured on international affairs and served on the boards of a number of Russian and international companies. He is also a distinguished fellow with the Wilson Center’s Kennan Institute.

This event has reached full capacity, please email Magdalena Fitipaldi at magdafb@stanford.edu to get on the waiting list.

This event is co-sponsored by the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law.

Note location change:

Encina Hall, 2nd Floor

616 Serra St
Stanford, CA 94305

 

 

Andrei Kozyrev Former Foreign Minister of Russia
Lectures

Russian Ambassador Sergey Kislyak: "The State of U.S.-Russia Relations"

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Sergey Kislyak was appointed Russian Ambassador to the United States in 2008. Prior to that he served as Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs, Ambassador of the Russian Federation to the Kingdom of Belgium and Permanent Representative of Russia to NATO. Moreover, he held the positions of Director of the Department of Security Affairs and Disarmament and Director of the Department of International Scientific and Technical Cooperation of the Foreign Ministry of Russia. He has vast experience in Russian foreign affairs, particularly with regards to the United States. 

 

This event is co-sponsored by the Center for Russian, Eastern European and Eurasian Studies.

Note location change:

Oberndorf Event Center

Stanford Graduate School of Business

641 Knight Way

Stanford, CA 90305

Sergey Kislyak Russian Ambassador to the U.S. Russian Ambassador to the U.S.
Lectures

Thailand’s China Policy: Succumbing to Soft Power or Bending with the Wind?

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Please note event's venue has changed to the Philippines conference room

Conditions of Entry:

Valid photo ID required all of attendees

No posters are allowed

No noise makers are allowed

On the surface, Thai-China relations have never been better, as the two countries work to raise their ties to a higher and broader plane. A five-year plan for strategic cooperation now under negotiation covers political, military, and security affairs; multi-sectoral trade and investment; health, education, information, technology, and culture; and regional and multilateral foreign policy. China is comfortable working with the military government that has ruled Thailand since 2014, and vice versa.

Beijing credits the exercise of Chinese “soft power” in Southeast Asia with having improved Thai views of China. Analysts characterize the warming as a new version of Thailand’s old habit of adapting to powerful outsiders by “bending with the wind.” Prof. Pavin will argue that, although the application of soft power has helped China’s cause in Thailand, it is not the main reason for the present warming of ties between the two countries. Indeed, in the long run, Chinese soft power could prove disastrous for Thailand.

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Pavin Chachavalpongpun is currently a visiting scholar at the University of California-Berkeley’s Center for Southeast Asia Studies. He was recently at Stanford as a Lee Kong Chian NUS-Stanford Distinguished Fellow on Contemporary Southeast Asia (2015-16). His many publications include Good Coup Gone Bad: Thailand’s Political Development since Thaksin’s Downfall (edited, 2014); Reinventing Thailand: Thaksin and His Foreign Policy (2010); and A Plastic Nation: The Curse of Thainess in Thai-Burmese Relations (2005). He is the editor of the Kyoto Review of Southeast Asia. His PhD is from the University of London’s School of Oriental and African Studies (2003).

Pavin Chachavalpongpun Associate Professor, Center for Southeast Asian Studies, Kyoto University
Seminars

Competing Narratives on Syria amid International Escalation

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ABSTRACT

By now, those following the news on Syria have been saturated with analysis, data, information, and misinformation on developments there since 2011. Yet we observe an increasing gravitation to mutually exclusive narratives that adorn websites and publications on the situation in Syria: (a) the narrative of pure and consistent revolution versus that of (b) external conspiracy/designs on Syria. Both narratives carry grains of truth, but are encumbered by maximalist claims and fundamental blindspots that forfeit various potentials for enduring cease-fires and/or transitions, let alone mutual understanding. This talk will address these competing narratives in the context of international escalation marked by increasing US-Russian tension and continued multi-layered conflicts on the battlefield. It closes with addressing a framework for understanding and gauging potential prospects despite conflicting declarations by all parties involved.

 

SPEAKER BIO

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Bassam Haddad is Director of the Middle East Studies Program and Associate Professor at the School of Policy, Government, and International Affairs (SPGIA) at George Mason University. He is the author of Business Networks in Syria: The Political Economy of Authoritarian Resilience (Stanford University Press, 2011) and Co-Editor of Dawn of the Arab Uprisings: End of an Old Order? (Pluto Press, 2012). Bassam serves as Founding Editor of the Arab Studies Journal a peer-reviewed research publication and is co-producer/director of the award-winning documentary film, About Baghdad, and director of a critically acclaimed film series on Arabs and Terrorism, based on extensive field research/interviews. Bassam is Co-Founder/Editor of Jadaliyya Ezine and the Executive Director of the Arab Studies Institute, an umbrella for five organizations dealing with knowledge production on the Middle East. He serves on the Board of the Arab Council for the Social Sciences and is Executive Producer of Status Audio Journal.

 

 

*This event is supported by the Stanford Initiative for Religious and Ethnic Understanding and Coexistence

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Reuben Hills Conference Room
2nd Floor East Wing E207
Encina Hall
616 Serra Street
Stanford, California 94305

Bassam Haddad Associate Professor George Mason University
Seminars
Arab Reform and Democracy Speaker Series

Patrick Winstead

616 Serra StreetEncina Hall E301Stanford, CA94305-6055
(650) 724-4885 (650) 723-6530
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patrick_winstead.jpg Lt. Col.

Lieutenant Colonel Patrick Winstead is a Senior Military Fellow at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC), Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) at Stanford University.  Prior to his current fellowship, Lt Col Winstead served in various leadership roles on the staff of the United States Pacific Command's Operations Directorate (J3) in Hawaii.  He led a team of cross-functional experts in analyzing various complex strategic and operational challenges in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region, then recommended U.S. military capabilities and strategies to meet those challenges.  Lt Col Winstead also served as the Executive Assistant to U.S. Pacific Command's Director for Operations (the 2-star officer responsible for all military operations in the Pacific theater).  Before his headquarters assignment, Lt Col Winstead commanded a C-17 airlift squadron in Hawaii, where he led over 110 military personnel in operations conducting the worldwide airlift and airdrop of cargo and people.  He is a pilot with over 3,400 flying hours in the C-17, having completed three other operational flying assignments as an instructor and evaluator pilot.  Lt Col Winstead spent the previous nine years of his 20+ year Air Force career stationed in the Asia-Pacific theater, gaining valuable tactical, operational, and strategic expertise in military operations.

Lt Col Winstead earned a B.S. in Environmental Engineering and a B.S. in Multidisciplinary Studies from North Carolina State University and a M.A. in Organizational Management from The George Washington University.

At Stanford, Lt Col Winstead seeks to examine the strategic implications of unmanned systems operations (air, sea, undersea) in the Indo-Asia-Pacific region, including the impact of using these systems by all capable governments on the balance of security and escalation control calculations.  More broadly, Lt Col Winstead seeks to understand factors contributing to escalation control in a multi-lateral, multi-alliance security environment.  He is also interested in strategic messaging and information control in the Indo-Asia-Pacific.

Visiting Scholar
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Youngsik Oh

616 Serra StreetEncina Hall E301Stanford, CA94305-6055
(650) 723-6530
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Youngsik Oh joins Shorenstein APARC as a Visiting Scholar during 2016-2017 academic year.

Oh's research focus is on the issues of international politics, in particular, on the possibility of North Korea's internal changes; the practical approaches to North Korean nuclear issues; and South Korean and US strategies toward China in relation to North Korea.

Oh was a National Assembly Member from 2003 to 2008 and 2012 to 2016 in Korea, and has been active as a broadcasting panelist. He holds a BA in law and an MA in business management from Korea University.

Visiting Scholar

Walder receives award for Cultural Revolution research

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Portrait of Prof. Andrew Walder

Stanford professor Andrew Walder has been awarded the Founder’s Prize from the journal Social Science History for his paper, “Rebellion and Repression in China, 1966-1971.” The journal’s editorial board selects one recipient annually for exemplary scholarly work.

Using data from 2,213 historical county and city annals, the paper charts the breadth of the Chinese Cultural Revolution, its evolution through time and the repression through which state structures were rebuilt in the post-Mao era.

Walder, who is a senior fellow in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies and director emeritus of the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, has long studied the sources of conflict, stability and change in communist regimes. He recently published China under Mao, a book that explores the rise and fall of Mao Zedong’s radical socialism.

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Why It’s Safe to Scrap America’s ICBMs: FSI senior fellow William Perry

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WILLIAM PERRY IN THE NY TIMES: WE DON'T HAVE TO REPEAT THE ARMS RACE

Former secretary of defense William J. Perry, FSI senior fellow and CISAC faculty member, writes in the New York Times that our inter-continental ballistic missiles (ICBM) program is an oversized burden on our resources. Read the full op-ed here.

The good news is that the United States can downsize its plans, save tens of billions of dollars, and still maintain a robust nuclear arsenal.

 

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The Iran Wars: Spy Games, Bank Battles, and the Secret Deals That Reshaped the Middle East

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Please join us for a book event The Iran Wars: Spy Games, Bank Battles, and the Secret Deals That Reshaped the Middle East with author Jay Solomon, Foreign Affairs Correspondent, The Wall Street Journal. The event will be chaired by Abbas Milani, Director Hamid & Christina Moghadam Program in Iranian Studies.

Please RSVP by Wednesday, October 19 via email to iranianstudies@stanford.edu.

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Jay Solomon, Foreign Affairs Correspondent, The Wall Street Journal
Jay Solomon Foreign Affairs Correspondent, The Wall Street Journal

Abbas Milani

615 Crothers Way,
Encina Commons, Room 128A
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305

(650) 721-4052
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Research Fellow, Hoover Institution
abbas_milani_photo_by_babak_payami.jpg PhD

Abbas Milani is the Hamid and Christina Moghadam Director of Iranian Studies at Stanford University and a visiting professor in the department of political science. In addition, Dr. Milani is a research fellow and co-director of the Iran Democracy Project at the Hoover Institution.

Prior to coming to Stanford, Milani was a professor of history and political science and chair of the department at Notre Dame de Namur University and a research fellow at the Institute of International Studies at the University of California at Berkeley. Milani was an assistant professor in the faculty of law and political science at Tehran University and a member of the board of directors of Tehran University's Center for International Studies from 1979 to 1987. He was a research fellow at the Iranian Center for Social Research from 1977 to 1978 and an assistant professor at the National University of Iran from 1975 to 1977.

Dr. Milani is the author of Eminent Persians: Men and Women Who Made Modern Iran, 1941-1979, (Syracuse University Press, Syracuse, NY, 2 volumes, November, 2008); King of Shadows: Essays on Iran's Encounter with Modernity, Persian text published in the U.S. (Ketab Corp., Spring 2005); Lost Wisdom: Rethinking Persian Modernity in Iran, (Mage 2004); The Persian Sphinx: Amir Abbas Hoveyda and the Riddle of the Iranian Revolution (Mage, 2000); Modernity and Its Foes in Iran (Gardon Press, 1998); Tales of Two Cities: A Persian Memoir (Mage 1996); On Democracy and Socialism, a collection of articles coauthored with Faramarz Tabrizi (Pars Press, 1987); and Malraux and the Tragic Vision (Agah Press, 1982). Milani has also translated numerous books and articles into Persian and English.

Milani received his BA in political science and economics from the University of California at Berkeley in 1970 and his PhD in political science from the University of Hawaii in 1974.

Hamid and Christina Moghadam Director of Iranian Studies
Co-director of the Iran Democracy Project
CDDRL Affiliated Scholar
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Trinkunas focused on training, scholarship, outreach

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When Harold Trinkunas joined CISAC in September, it was like coming home again.

Trinkunas will serve in the concomitant role of senior research scholar and associate director for research. One of the nation’s leading Latin America experts, he comes to CISAC from the Brookings Institution, where he was the Charles W. Robinson Chair and senior fellow as well as director of the Latin America Initiative in the Foreign Policy program.

“This is a great opportunity to work in collaborative ways with exceptional scholars around some very important themes in today’s world,” Trinkunas said, noting the urgency of such issues as risks posed emerging technology, the future of the global order, and international security.

CISAC co-directors Amy Zegart and David Relman wrote in their introduction of Trinkunas that his “leadership will continue to advance the center's mission of training the next generation of international security specialists; developing original policy-relevant scholarship; and extending our outreach to global policymakers to improve the peace and security of our world.”

Evolving global realities

Born and raised in Venezuela, Trinkunas earned his doctorate in political science from Stanford University in 1999 and has been a predoctoral fellow and later a visiting professor at CISAC.  His first exposure to CISAC took place when he served as a teaching assistant to Scott Sagan in 1992.

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Through the years, CISAC has evolved and adjusted its focus to reflect the global security realities, Trinkunas said. “CISAC has successfully adapted to the changing times since its inception.” Research at CISAC spans such topics, including biosecurity and global health, terrorism, cybersecurity, governance, and nuclear risk and cooperation, to name a few.

Trinkunas is looking forward to the mentoring aspect of working with predocs and postdocs while tapping into the CISAC alumni network to open doors for those rising scholars.

“The Center has developed so many positive connections to scholars, policymakers, foundations, and civil society and the private sector more broadly, both in this country and around the word. One of my goals will be to build on those relationships in a way that’s rewarding for all parties,” said Trinkunas, who also served as an associate professor and chair of the National Security Affairs Department at the Naval Postgraduate School.

Security and governance

His newest book, Aspirational Power: Brazil's Long Road to Global Influence, co-authored with David Mares of UC San Digo, was published this summer by Brookings Institution Press. 

Trinkunas is especially interested in the intersections of security and governance. In his research, he has examined civil-military relations, ungoverned spaces, terrorist financing, emerging power dynamics, and global governance.

“Latin America is the part of the world that I know most about,” he said, adding that the region particularly stands out due to the decreasing number of wars and conflicts between states over the past few decades, even as problems of criminal violence have become more salient.

Part of the reason for region-wide stability, Trinkunas explained, is that democratization led many elected leaders to de-emphasize the role of military responses to interstate disputes in an effort to reduce the importance of the armed forces in domestic politics.

In a region with a history of military dictatorship, many democratic leaders saw their own armed forces as a more significant threat to their permanence in power than their neighbors’ militaries, he said.

In addition, the U.S. foreign policy toward the region has tended to become less interventionist over time and has focused instead on minimizing the use of force as a solution to interstate disputes in the region. Recent efforts to normalize of the U.S.-Cuba relationship are a reflection of this trend, Trinkunas added.

 

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