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Beth Duff-Brown
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An aspirin a day may keep heart attacks and cancer away, according to new recommendations by a medical panel. But that doesn’t mean everyone should run to the drugstore without talking to his or her doctor first.

The U.S. Preventive Services Task Force, an independent panel of medical experts from around the nation, said Monday that taking aspirin can help 50- to 59-year-olds who are at increased risk of cardiovascular disease prevent heart attacks and strokes.

The panel also said that taking aspirin for at least five to 10 years could help prevent colorectal cancer. Individuals 60 to 69 may also benefit from aspirin, but the benefit is smaller than in people 50 to 59.

Because heart attacks are caused by blood clots in the arteries, aspirin can help prevent heart attacks and strokes that are caused by these clots.

It is the first time the task force has included both the evidence on preventing cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer in developing recommendations on aspirin use in patients at high risk of cardiovascular disease.

Stanford Professor of Medicine Douglas K. Owens, a member of the task force, cautioned the new recommendations come with a caveat: a daily dose of aspirin can cause stomach and brain bleeds. People with stomach and liver problems, bleeding disorders or who are taking blood thinners, are at greater risk of experiencing the side effects of aspirin.

And, he emphasized, the new recommendations are for older adults and those with substantially elevated risk of cardiovascular disease.

Douglas K. Owens

“It is nuanced,” said Owens, director of the Center for Health Policy/Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research. “Our recommendation applies to people who are at increased risk of heart disease and who do not have increased risk of bleeding complications.

He added that those risk assessments by physicians are extremely important.

The task force, an independent panel of experts in prevention and primary care appointed by the Department of Health and Human Services, said a “pragmatic approach” consistent with the evidence is to prescribe 81mg per day, or one baby aspirin, which is the most commonly prescribed dose.

“Each person has only one decision to make — whether or not to take aspirin for prevention,” said Owens. “To help individuals and their clinicians make this decision, the task force integrated the evidence about the use of aspirin to prevent cardiovascular disease and colorectal cancer into one recommendation on the use of aspirin.”

But the task for also concluded that it doesn’t have enough to current evidence to assess the balance of benefits and harms of aspirin use in adults younger than age 50 and those older than 70.

The draft guidelines, which are open for public comment on the task force website, have provoked criticism by some cardiologists and physicians who are concerned that healthy Americans who start taking aspirin on a daily basis could expose themselves to the drug’s negative side effects, such as stomach bleeding and hemorrhagic strokes.

And the Food and Drug Administration wrote last year that it had reviewed studies on the use of aspirin for primary prevention of a heart attack “and did not find sufficient support for the use of aspirin.” The agency did say, however, it was awaiting results of additional clinical trials.

Owens said that while the FDA looked at aspirin to prevent an initial heart attack or stroke, “the task force looked at evidence for the broader benefits of aspirin to reduce heart attacks, strokes and colorectal cancer.”

In addition, Owens said, the evidence review for the task force included a wide variety of research, including meta-analyses, which may not have been included in the FDA review. The task force commissioned three systematic reviews, he said, as well as a sophisticated modeling study to help integrate the evidence about cardiovascular disease and cancer.

So what’s the bottom line? Consult your physician.

Because, as task force vice chair Dr. Kirsten Bibbins-Domingo said, “Taking aspirin is easy, but deciding whether or not to take aspirin for prevention is complex.”

Listen to Owens' interview on NPR's Morning Edition.

 

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Abstract:

Scholars of governance reforms in developing countries often argue that the surest way to address the maladies of the state—corruption, cronyism, inefficiency, and red tape—is swift, dramatic change enacted by political leaders during moments of upheaval. This research finds that a very different type of change is not only possible but also more effective and enduring. A comparison of attempts to increase accountability, transparency, and institutional strength in Brazil and Argentina demonstrates that incremental changes sequenced over time in response to failings in previous policy provide two crucial advantages over wholesale and rapid overhauls of the state: (1) continual adjustments and modifications benefit from learning; and (2) an incremental approach makes reform more durable and helps preserve bureaucratic autonomy.

 

Speaker Bio:

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Katherine Bersch is a Postdoctoral Fellow at the Center for Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law at Stanford University. Her research is broadly focused on democratic quality in developing countries, with an emphasis on governance reform and state capacity in Latin America. She employs a range of research methods to understand the political conditions under which policies designed to reduce corruption, increase transparency, and enhance accountability are successful and durable. Bersch’s work has been published or is forthcoming in Comparative Politics, the European Journal of Development Research, Information Polity, and in Miguel Centeno, Atul Kohli, and Deborah Yashar's edited volume with Dinsha Mistree, States in the Developing World. Her research on state capacity with Sérgio Praça and Matthew M. Taylor recently won the LAPIS Best Paper Award from the Latin American Studies Association. Bersch received her PhD in Government from the University of Texas at Austin.

Katherine Bersch Postdoctoral Fellow at the Center for Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law at Stanford University
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Montek Singh Ahluwalia is an economist who trained at Oxford as a Rhodes Scholar. He spent several years at the World Bank before returning to India to serve as the Economic Advisor to the Finance Minister. The Government of India then appointed him to several senior positions, including Secretary of Commerce and Secretary in the Department of Economic Affairs at the Ministry of Finance. In 1998, he was appointed as a Member of the Planning Commission and Advisory Council to the Prime Minister of India. In 2001, he became the Director of Independent Evaluation Office at the International Monetary Fund, resigning this position in 2004 to become the Deputy Chairman of the Planning Commission.

He has written widely about India and the world economy, co-authoring Redistribution with Growth: An Approach to Policy, and editing Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: Issues for Reforming the Global Financial Architecture with Y.V. Reddy and S.S. Tarapore.

The Payne Distinguished Lectureship is named for Frank and Arthur Payne, brothers who gained an appreciation for global problems through their international business operations. This lectureship, hosted by the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, brings speakers with an international reputation for leadership and visionary thinking to Stanford to deliver a major public lecture. 

This event is carried out in partnership with the Stanford Center for International Development (SCID).

A public reception will follow the lecture.

Montek Singh Ahluwalia Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission 2004-2014, Government of India Deputy Chairman, Planning Commission 2004-2014, Government of India
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Abstract

New President of the United States Institute of Peace, Nancy Lindborg, will discuss the global challenge of fragility and conflict, including a vision of the way forward. Ms. Lindborg’s remarks reflect a lifetime of working in the world’s most fragile regions and a time when the global humanitarian system is at a breaking point, with record numbers of people forcibly displaced globally.   

 

Speaker Bio

nancy lindborg presidential portrait Nancy Lindborg
Nancy Lindborg has served since February, 2015, as President of the United States Institute of Peace, an independent institution founded by Congress to provide practical solutions for preventing and resolving violent conflict around the world.   

Ms. Lindborg has spent most of her career working in fragile and conflict affected regions around the world.   Prior to joining USIP, she served as the Assistant Administrator for the Bureau for Democracy, Conflict and Humanitarian Assistance (DCHA) at USAID.  From 2010 through early 2015, Ms. Lindborg led USAID teams focused on building resilience and democracy, managing and mitigating conflict and providing urgent humanitarian assistance.   Ms. Lindborg led DCHA teams in response to the ongoing Syria Crisis, the droughts in Sahel and Horn of Africa, the Arab Spring, the Ebola response and numerous other global crises.

Prior to joining USAID, Ms. Lindborg was president of Mercy Corps, where she spent 14 years helping to grow the organization into a globally respected organization known for innovative programs in the most challenging environments.   She started her international career working overseas in Kazakhstan and Nepal. 

Ms. Lindborg has held a number of leadership and board positions including serving as co-president of the Board of Directors for the U.S. Global Leadership Coalition; co-founder and board member of the National Committee on North Korea; and chair of the Sphere Management Committee. She is a member of Council on Foreign Relations.

She holds a B.A and M.A. in English Literature from Stanford University and an M.A. in Public Administration from the John F. Kennedy School of Government at Harvard University.

Nancy Lindborg President of the United States Institute of Peace President of the United States Institute of Peace
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Encina Hall E301616 Serra StreetStanford, CA94305-6055
(650) 796-3699 (650) 723-6530
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David LEE Kuo Chuen joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (APARC) as visiting scholar for the fall of 2015.  He is currently the Director of Sim Kee Boon Institute for Financial Economics.  He holds the appointment of Practice Professor of Quantitative Finance, Lee Kong Chian School of Business, in Singapore Management University.  He is also the founder of Ferrell Asset Management Group.

His research interests encompass digital and Internet finance, digital banking, Asia finance, impact investing, financial inclusion and asset allocation. During his time as a Fulbright Scholar at Shorenstein APARC, his research will focus on harnessing Silicon Valley technology for connectivity and financial inclusion in ASEAN and Singapore.

David is also an Independent Director of two SGX-listed companies and sits on the Investment Committee and Council of two charitable organizations. He is the Vice President of the Economic Society of Singapore.  He was the Founding Vice Chairman of the Alternative Investment Management Association (Singapore Chapter), a member of the SGX Security Committee, and MAS Financial Research Council.  He was also the Group Managing Director of OUE Limited and Auric Pacific Limited, as well as the Non-Executive Chairman of MAP Technology Limited.

David speaks frequently in international conferences with occasional appearances in Bloomberg, Reuters and Channel NewsAsia.  He has published in Financial Analyst Journal, Journal of Investing, Journal of Wealth Management, Journal of Statistical Computation and Simulation, Applied Financial Economics, and several books and chapters on Household Economics and Hedge Funds.  His two books on Asia Finance focus on Banking, Sovereign Wealth Funds, REITs, Financial Trading & Markets, and Fund Performance. His latest book is on Digital Currency.

He graduated from the London School of Economics and Political Science with a BSc (Econs), MSc (Mathematical Economics and Econometrics) and a PhD in Econometrics and Mathematical Economics.

Visiting Scholar, Fulbright Fellow
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Abstract:

This research explores the conditions under which government actors and citizens recognize and incorporate the interests of others in their policy decisions and actions. To do so requires a change in beliefs about whose interests are intertwined and what it is possible and appropriate to do as a polity. This in turn demands changes in governance arrangements and, ultimately, norms of behavior.

 

Speaker Bio:

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Director of Center for Advanced Study in Behavioral Sciences (CASBS) and Professor of Political Science, Stanford. President, American Political Science Association, 2004-5. Member, National Academy of Sciences. Many publications include: Of Rule and Revenue (1988), and In the Interest of Others, with John Ahlquist (2013).

 

 

 

 

 

Margaret Levi Professor of Political Science, Stanford University Professor of Political Science, Stanford University
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A new study by Stanford researchers indicates adding cardiac resynchronization therapy to an implanted cardioverter-defibrillator (CRT-D) for patients with mild heart failure could increase the quality of life and may be cost-effective.

The study in the Aug. 25 issue of Annals of Internal Medicine finds that for patients with left ventricular systolic dysfunction, and a prolonged QRS duration, such devices would cost $61 700 per QALY gained. This result depends on a mortality reduction from CRT-D and is thus most applicable to patients with NYHA class II symptoms who have a QRS duration of 150 milliseconds or greater, or left bunle branch block.

The authors of the paper, “Cost-Effectiveness of Adding Cardiac Resynchronization Therapy to an Implantable Cardioverter-Defibrillator Among Patients With Mild Heart Failure,” include Stanford cardiologist Christopher Y. Woo and Center for Health Policy/Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research’s Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert, an assistant professor of medicine, and Douglas K. Owens, a professor a medicine and director of the two Stanford health policy centers.

 

The full paper can be found on the AIM website.

 

 

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In a Queen's School of Business (QSB) article, David Chan, an assistant professor of Medicine and CHP/PCOR core faculty member, discusses his new study on the cost of variation in medical practices.  The article shows that large variation in medical testing caused by "weak best practices" leads to greater healthcare spending.  According to Chan, there is significant variation in general medicine practices but little variation in specialty areas, and he found that "worker characteristics and formally learned differences have little role in explaining practice variation, at least within organizations.”  Decreasing practice variation could decrease healthcare spending in the U.S. substantially.

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Encina Hall616 Serra StreetStanford, CA 94305-6055
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Zaira Razu is a research Associate and Project Manager at the Program on Poverty and Governance at CDDRL. She is currently working on the Governance of Public Health in Mexico project, focusing on the differences in mortality rates across income groups to analyze health disparities in the country. She is also collaborating in the design of impact and process evaluations of different interventions that seek to reduce youth violence in Mexico and the US, as well as to better understand the key dimensions of youth criminal careers: recruitment, incentives, training, and desistance. Zaira’s previous responsibilities at PovGov included a review on the current state of Political Economy scholarship in Mexico and the creation of a database of Oaxaca municipalities to analyze the relationship between community participation and the quality of public goods provision.

Zaira graduated from Stanford in June 2014 with an MA in International Policy Studies, concentrating in Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law. She also holds a BA in Political Science from Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de Mexico (ITAM). Zaira is interested in applied research on youth, health, and poverty alleviation policies. She has experience in impact evaluation (at the Inter-American Development Bank), and in policy design and implementation (at Fundación IDEA and in the Center Mario Molina, Mexico).

 

Publications

Díaz- Cayeros, A., & Razú, Z. (2014). ¿ Hacia dónde va la economía política en México?. El Trimestre Económico81(324), 783-806.

 

Project Manager and Research Assistant, Governance of Public Health in Mexico Project
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Video of A career in Economics...it's much more than you think

Marcella Alsan, an assistant professor of Medicine and CHP/PCOR core faculty member, shows how economics is a broader field than most people realize in this video produced by the American Economic Association (AEA).  Along with other top economists, she discusses the interdisciplinary nature of economics, specifically as it relates to global health.  Alsan states that "without understanding economic principals and economic forces, [there is] a real gaping hole in actually practicing medicine."  Understanding economics can help us to understand policy decisions and to tackle the broad problems of society.

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