FSI researchers strive to understand how countries relate to one another, and what policies are needed to achieve global stability and prosperity. International relations experts focus on the challenging U.S.-Russian relationship, the alliance between the U.S. and Japan and the limitations of America’s counterinsurgency strategy in Afghanistan.
Foreign aid is also examined by scholars trying to understand whether money earmarked for health improvements reaches those who need it most. And FSI’s Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center has published on the need for strong South Korean leadership in dealing with its northern neighbor.
FSI researchers also look at the citizens who drive international relations, studying the effects of migration and how borders shape people’s lives. Meanwhile FSI students are very much involved in this area, working with the United Nations in Ethiopia to rethink refugee communities.
Trade is also a key component of international relations, with FSI approaching the topic from a slew of angles and states. The economy of trade is rife for study, with an APARC event on the implications of more open trade policies in Japan, and FSI researchers making sense of who would benefit from a free trade zone between the European Union and the United States.
How Could States Use Nuclear Weapons? Four Models After the Bomb
*For fall quarter 2021, CISAC will be hosting hybrid events. Many events will offer limited-capacity in-person attendance for Stanford faculty, staff, fellows, visiting scholars, and students in accordance with Stanford’s health and safety guidelines, and be open to the public online via Zoom. All CISAC events are scheduled using the Pacific Time Zone.
REGISTRATION
(Open to all)
About the Event: According to the Theory of the Nuclear Revolution (TNR), nuclear weapons have stabilized relations between great powers, making deterrence easier than compellence. This view is currently under attack. Recent work has documented Washington’s competitive approach to arms control agreements and the fragility of the nuclear stalemate. However, these critiques have not explained how policymakers could hope to extract coercive benefits from nuclear weapons. This paper revisits this question using a game-theoretic model. It shows that if the compellent state is able to bolster the credibility of its threat through standard techniques, i.e. burning bridges, probabilistic threats, or the rationality of irrationality, then compellence may succeed. However, greater military capabilities bolster coercion by increasing the risk of disaster, with first-strike capabilities being especially destabilizing. TNR was correct to warn about the risks of nuclear competition.
About the Speaker:
Alexandre Debs is Associate Professor of Political Science at Yale University.
His research focuses on the causes of war, nuclear proliferation, and democratization, and it has appeared in top journals such as the American Political Science Review, the American Journal of Political Science, the Journal of Politics, International Organization, and International Security. He wrote with Nuno Monteiro the book Nuclear Politics: The Strategic Causes of Proliferation (2017, Cambridge University Press).
Alexandre received a Ph.d. in Economics from M.I.T., an M.Phil. in Economic and Social History from the University of Oxford as a Rhodes scholar, and a B.Sc. in Economics and Mathematics from Universite de Montreal.
Virtual Only. This event will not be held in person.
Democracy Promotion in US Foreign Policy
About the Seminar: US response to 9/11 included a major focus on peace building through democracy promotion. The seminar examines the rationale and milestones for American engagement in distant lands. How will such an approach work in future foreign policy implementation is also discussed with some conclusions about future engagement.
For Fall Quarter 2021, we will be hosting a hybrid weekly Research Seminar Series. All events will be open to the public online via Zoom, and a limited-capacity in-person element for Stanford affiliates may be added in accordance with the County's health and safety guidelines.
She is the author and editor of several monographs, including Pakistan Today: The Case for U.S.-Pakistan Relations (with Shahid Javed Burki, Foreign Policy Institute, 2017); Manipulating Religion for Political Gain in Pakistan: Consequences for the U.S. and the Region (Foreign Policy Institute, 2015); and India, Pakistan and the United States: Breaking with the Past (Council on Foreign Relations, 1997).
Online, via Zoom
Spies, Lies, and Algorithms: A Conversation with Amy Zegart and Condoleezza Rice
* Please note all CISAC events are scheduled using the Pacific Time Zone.
This event is hosted by the Hoover Institution and co-sponsored by CISAC.
Registration required to attend in person.
Event and Registration Link: https://www.hoover.org/events/spies-lies-and-algorithms
About the Event: Spying has never been more ubiquitous―or less understood. The world is drowning in spy movies, TV shows, and novels, but universities offer more courses on rock and roll than on the CIA and there are more congressional experts on powdered milk than espionage. This crisis in intelligence education is distorting public opinion, fueling conspiracy theories, and hurting intelligence policy. In Spies, Lies, and Algorithms, Amy Zegart separates fact from fiction as she offers an engaging and enlightening account of the past, present, and future of American espionage as it faces a revolution driven by digital technology.
Drawing on decades of research and hundreds of interviews with intelligence officials, Zegart provides a history of U.S. espionage, from George Washington’s Revolutionary War spies to today’s spy satellites; examines how fictional spies are influencing real officials; gives an overview of intelligence basics and life inside America’s intelligence agencies; explains the deadly cognitive biases that can mislead analysts; and explores the vexed issues of traitors, covert action, and congressional oversight. Most of all, Zegart describes how technology is empowering new enemies and opportunities, and creating powerful new players, such as private citizens who are successfully tracking nuclear threats using little more than Google Earth. And she shows why cyberspace is, in many ways, the ultimate cloak-and-dagger battleground, where nefarious actors employ deception, subterfuge, and advanced technology for theft, espionage, and information warfare.
About the Speaker:
Amy Zegart is the Morris Arnold and Nona Jean Cox Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and Professor of Political Science (by courtesy) at Stanford University. She is also a Senior Fellow at Stanford’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Chair of Stanford’s Artificial Intelligence and International Security Steering Committee, and a contributing writer at The Atlantic. She specializes in U.S. intelligence, emerging technologies and national security, grand strategy, and global political risk management.
In person at Hauck Auditorium Hoover Institution and Livestreamed at https://www.hoover.org/events/spies-lies-and-algorithms
Condoleezza Rice
Hoover Institution
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305-6010
Condoleezza Rice is the Tad and Dianne Taube Director of the Hoover Institution and a Senior Fellow on Public Policy. She is the Denning Professor in Global Business and the Economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. In addition, she is a founding partner of Rice, Hadley, Gates & Manuel LLC, an international strategic consulting firm.
From January 2005 to January 2009, Rice served as the 66th Secretary of State of the United States, the second woman and first black woman to hold the post. Rice also served as President George W. Bush’s Assistant to the President for National Security Affairs (National Security Advisor) from January 2001 to January 2005, the first woman to hold the position.
Rice served as Stanford University’s provost from 1993 to 1999, during which time she was the institution’s chief budget and academic officer. As Professor of Political Science, she has been on the Stanford faculty since 1981 and has won two of the university’s highest teaching honors.
From February 1989 through March 1991, Rice served on President George H.W. Bush’s National Security Council staff. She served as Director, then Senior Director, of Soviet and East European Affairs, as well as Special Assistant to the President for National Security. In 1986, while an International Affairs Fellow of the Council on Foreign Relations, Rice also served as Special Assistant to the Director of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
She has authored and co-authored numerous books, most recently To Build a Better World: Choices to End the Cold War and Create a Global Commonwealth (2019), co-authored with Philip Zelikow. Among her other volumes are three bestsellers, Democracy: Stories from the Long Road to Freedom (2017); No Higher Honor: A Memoir of My Years in Washington (2011); and Extraordinary, Ordinary People: A Memoir of Family (2010). She also wrote Political Risk: How Businesses and Organizations Can Anticipate Global Insecurity (2018) with Amy B. Zegart; Germany Unified and Europe Transformed: A Study in Statecraft (1995) with Philip Zelikow; edited The Gorbachev Era (1986) with Alexander Dallin; and penned The Soviet Union and the Czechoslovak Army; 1948-1983: Uncertain Allegiance (1984).
In 1991, Rice co-founded the Center for a New Generation (CNG), an innovative, after-school academic enrichment program for students in East Palo Alto and East Menlo Park, California. In 1996, CNG merged with the Boys & Girls Club of the Peninsula, an affiliate club of the Boys & Girls Clubs of America (BCGA). CNG has since expanded to local BGCA chapters in Birmingham, Atlanta, and Dallas. Rice remains an active proponent of an extended learning day through after-school programs.
Since 2009, Rice has served as a founding partner at Rice, Hadley, Gates, & Manuel LLC, an international strategic consulting firm based in Silicon Valley and Washington, D.C. The firm works with senior executives of major companies to implement strategic plans and expand in emerging markets. Other partners include former National Security Advisor Stephen J. Hadley, former Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates, and former diplomat, author, and advisor on emerging markets, Anja Manuel.
In 2022, Rice became a part-owner of the Denver Broncos as a part of the Walton-Penner Family Ownership Group. In 2013, Rice was appointed to the College Football Playoff Selection Committee, formerly the Bowl Championship Series. She served on the committee until 2017.
Rice currently serves on the boards of C3.ai, an AI software company; and Makena Capital Management, a private endowment firm. In addition, she is Vice Chair of the Board of Governors of the Boys & Girls Clubs of America and a trustee of the Aspen Institute. Previously, Rice served on various boards, including Dropbox; the George W. Bush Institute; the Commonwealth Club; KiOR, Inc.; the Chevron Corporation; the Charles Schwab Corporation; the Transamerica Corporation; the Hewlett-Packard Company; the University of Notre Dame; the Foundation of Excellence in Education; the John F. Kennedy Center for the Performing Arts; and the San Francisco Symphony.
Born in Birmingham, Alabama, Rice earned her bachelor’s degree in political science, cum laude and Phi Beta Kappa, from the University of Denver; her master’s in the same subject from the University of Notre Dame; and her Ph.D., likewise in political science, from the Graduate School of International Studies at the University of Denver.
Rice is a Fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences and has been awarded over fifteen honorary doctorates.
9/11 and Afghanistan Twenty Years Later: Successes, Failures, Surprises, and Lessons
All CISAC events are scheduled using the Pacific Time Zone. This event is part of the year-long initiative on “Ethics & Political Violence” jointly organized by the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) and The McCoy Family Center for Ethics in Society. This event is hosted by CISAC and is co-sponsored by Society for International Affairs at Stanford, McCoy Family Center for Ethics in Society, Center for South Asia.
About the Event: The dramatic scenes the world witnessed during the fall of Kabul in 2021 following the withdrawal of US and allied forces from Afghanistan nearly coincided with the twentieth anniversary of the 9/11 attacks by Al Qaeda and the subsequent US and allied invasion of Afghanistan. The United States committed trillions of dollars, dispatched soldiers, diplomats and spies across the globe, and made dramatic alterations to domestic and international law to combat terrorism. The material, humanitarian and normative consequences of two decades of war have been significant, both globally and in Afghanistan specifically. In this panel, Dr. Felter, Dr. Mir and Professor Zegart will assess U.S. responses during the global war on terror, identify unexpected outcomes and lessons learned, and ultimately weigh the costs and benefits of this two-decade struggle against terrorism.
About the Speakers:
Joe Felter is a William J. Perry Fellow at the Center for International Security and Cooperation and research fellow at the Hoover Institution. From 2017 to 2019, Felter served as US deputy assistant secretary of defense for South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Oceania. There he was the principal advisor for all policy matters pertaining to development and implementation of defense strategies and plans in the region and responsible for managing bilateral security relationships and guiding Department of Defense (DoD) engagement with multilateral institutions.
Asfandyar Mir is a senior expert in the Asia Center at USIP. Previously, heheld various fellowships at the Center for International Security and Cooperation at Stanford University. His research interests include the international relations of South Asia, U.S. counterterrorism policy and political violence — with a regional focus on Afghanistan and Pakistan. Asfandyar Mir’s research has appeared in peer-reviewed journals, such as International Security, International Studies Quarterly and Security Studies. He received his doctorate in political science from the University of Chicago and a master’s and bachelor’s from Stanford University.
Amy Zegart is the Morris Arnold and Nona Jean Cox Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and Professor of Political Science (by courtesy) at Stanford University. She is also a Senior Fellow at Stanford’s Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Chair of Stanford’s Artificial Intelligence and International Security Steering Committee, and a contributing writer at The Atlantic. She specializes in U.S. intelligence, emerging technologies and national security, grand strategy, and global political risk management.
Virtual to Public. Only those with an active Stanford ID with access to William J Perry Conference Room in Encina Hall may attend in person.
Asfandyar Mir
Asfandyar Mir is an affiliate with the Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University. Previously he has held predoctoral and postdoctoral fellowships at the center. His research interests are in the international relations of South Asia, US counterterrorism policy, and political violence, with a regional focus on Afghanistan and Pakistan. His research has appeared in peer-reviewed journals of International Relations, such as International Security, International Studies Quarterly and Security Studies, and his commentary has appeared in Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, H-Diplo, Lawfare, Modern War Institute, Political Violence at a Glance, Politico, and the Washington Post.
Asfandyar received his PhD in political science from the University of Chicago and a masters and bachelors from Stanford University.
Amy Zegart
CISAC
Stanford University
Encina Hall, E216
Stanford, CA 94305-6165
Dr. Amy Zegart is the Morris Arnold and Nona Jean Cox Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution. The author of five books, she specializes in U.S. intelligence, emerging technologies, and national security. At Hoover, she leads the Technology Policy Accelerator and the Oster National Security Affairs Fellows Program. She also is an associate director and senior fellow at the Stanford Institute for Human-Centered AI; a senior fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute; and professor of political science by courtesy, teaching 100 students each year about how emerging technologies are transforming espionage.
Her award-winning research includes the leading academic study of intelligence failures before 9/11: Spying Blind: The CIA, the FBI, and the Origins of 9/11 (Princeton, 2007) and the bestseller Spies, Lies, and Algorithms: The History and Future of American Intelligence (Princeton, 2022), which was nominated by Princeton University Press for the Pulitzer Prize. She also coauthored Political Risk: How Businesses and Organizations Can Anticipate Global Insecurity, with Condoleezza Rice (Twelve, 2018). Her op-eds and essays have appeared in Foreign Affairs, Politico, the New York Times, the Washington Post, and the Wall Street Journal.
Zegart has advised senior officials about intelligence and foreign policy for more than two decades. She served on the National Security Council staff and as a presidential campaign foreign policy advisor and has testified before numerous congressional committees. Before her academic career, she spent several years as a McKinsey & Company consultant.
Zegart received an AB in East Asian studies from Harvard and an MA and a PhD in political science from Stanford. She serves on the boards of the Council on Foreign Relations, Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, and the American Funds/Capital Group.
Alyssa Goya
616 Jane Stanford Way
Stanford, CA 94305
Alyssa received her M.A. in International Comparative Education at Stanford University where she explored the educational challenges she encountered while teaching English First Additional Language as a Peace Corps Volunteer in rural South Africa. She also received a B.S. in Global Studies and a B.A. in Spanish and Portuguese from the University of Arizona. Prior to joining the team at The Europe Center, Alyssa worked at Stanford Pre-Collegiate Studies, bringing high quality enrichment opportunities to academically talented pre-college students around the world and at the Utah Valley University Women's Success Center where she assisted woman identifying students towards degree completion. Alyssa speaks Spanish, Portuguese, and (some) Setswana and loves to do the Sunday crossword or get outside for a hike with her dog, Cooper.
Belarusian Leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya Meets with Stanford Scholars for Roundtable on Democracy in Belarus
On August 9, 2020 citizens in the Republic of Belarus went to the polls to vote for their next president. The incumbent was Alexander Lukashenko, a 67-year-old military officer who has kept an iron grip on the presidency for the entire 26 years Bealrus has held elections. But the challenger was an unexpected, new face. Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya is a 38-year-old English teacher, mother and pro-democracy activist who stepped into a campaign following her husband's arrest and imprisonment in May 2020 for political dissension. In four short months, she galvanized the nation with a message of democracy, freedom and fair elections that reached across opposition factions and gained enough momentum to become a serious contender for the presidency.
On election day, projections estimated an initial win for Tsikhanouskaya at 60%. But when the country's Central Elections Commission announced the election results, Lukashenko carried 80% of the vote, and Tsikhanouskaya a mere 10%. Given the long history of election engineering in Belarus, the results were expected. But what happened next was not. Outraged by the fraud, Tsikhanouskaya's supporters poured into city centers in Brest and Minsk by the tens of thousands, instigating the largest public protests in the history of post-Soviet Belarus. Caught off-guard, the regime hit back with a ruthless wave of violence and political imprisonments, prompting the European Union, NATO and other countries to impose sanctions and condemn Lukashenko as an illegitimate leader.
While Tsikhanouskaya's presidential campaign ended last August, her role as a democratic leader in Eastern Europe has not. In the year since the election, she has traveled the globe to meet with lawmakers, policy experts and heads of state to speak out against the ongoing repression of Lukashenko's regime and advocate for support of Belarus by the international community. The Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) was honored to host Tsikhanouskaya and her delegation at Stanford for a roundtable discussion on the challenges that lay ahead in preparing Belarus for a democratic transition. Director Michael McFaul hosted the discussion, which brought together scholars from across FSI, the Hoover Institute and the Belarusian expatriate community. The full recording is below.
Rather than holding a typical press conference, Tsikhanouskaya's visit at FSI gave members of the Belarusian delegation an opportunity to engage in back-and-forth dialogue with an interdisciplinary panel of experts on governance, history and policy. Tsikhanouskaya and her senior advisors shared their perspectives on the challenges they are facing to build and maintain pro-democracy efforts, while Stanford scholars offered insights from their extensive research and scholarship.
Presidents, Protests and Precedent in Belarus
As leader of the delegation, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya gave an overview of the brutality of Lukashenko's regime and the lawlessness that has enveloped the country. But she also reaffirmed the commitment of everyday Belarusians to defending their independence and continuing the work of building new systems to push back against the dictatorship, and encouraged the support of the international democratic community.
"Belarusians are doing their homework. But we also understand that we need the assistance and help of other democratic countries," said Tsikhanouskaya. "That support is vital, because our struggle relates not just to Belarusians, but to all countries who share these common values."
Speaking to the work that Belarusians have already undertaken, Franak Viačorka, a senior advisor to Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya, described how citizens are creating new means of protesting and organizing. Though they learned some tactics from recent protests in Hong Kong and classic theories by political scientists like Gene Sharp, organizers in Belarus quickly realized that they needed to innovate in order to keep ahead of Lukashenko's crack-downs. Today the opposition is a tech-driven movement that spreads awareness and support quickly through digital spaces and underground channels while avoiding large in-person gatherings that attract government brutality.
By Tanya Bayeva's assessment, these methods of organizing have been effective in capturing widespread support amongst people. A member of the Belarusian diaspora, Bayeva described the sense of empowerment she felt in coming together in a common cause with like-minded people.
"By coming out like this, people have started realizing that it is up to us, the people, and our individual willpower to make a difference," said Bayeva. "We are realizing that the king has no clothes, and that working together we can forward the process of democratization."
But there is still plenty of work ahead. In order to facilitate a more peaceful future transition to a democratic system, there will need to be frameworks in place to bridge the divide between old systems and new. Valery Kavaleuski, the representative on foreign affairs in Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya's delegation, is focusing extensively on these issues, such as reconciliation processes and plans for future investments between Belarus and the European Union.
"These are political moves that reinforce hope among Belarusians and tells that that they are not alone and that when the change comes, they will have friends by their side to overcome the challenges of the transition period," said Kavaleuski.
Advice from Stanford Scholars: Focus on Processes and People
Responding to the Belarusian delegation's questions and comments, the faculty from FSI and the broader Stanford community offered insights and considerations from a variety of perspectives and disciplines on 'next steps' for the pro-democracy movement.
Francis Fukuyama, the Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at FSI and Mosbacher Director at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL), cautioned against the impulse to immediately take down the state and bureaucratic systems of the existing regime. While dismantling the mechanisms from the old state may feel emotionally satisfying, examples from history such as post-Nazi Germany and post-invasion Iraq illustrate the crippling effect on efficiency, functionality and the ability of the new order to govern in a vacuum of bureaucratic expertise.
FSI's Deputy Director, Kathryn Stoner, gave similar advice in regard to drafting and implementing a new constitution and conventions.
"People care to a great degree [about a new constitution], but not to months and months of debate and politicians yelling at one another. People can't eat constitutions," said Stoner. "You have to demonstrate that your system is going to be better than what was. When things have not gone well in transitioning countries, it's been because people don't see concrete change. So have a constitutional convention, but make it fast."
Amr Hamzawy, a senior research scholar for the Middle East Initiative at the Center for Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law, also pointed to the importance of engaging the public and building alliances within both the old and new political systems. Based on his observations of the failed Egyptian and Tunisian efforts at democratic transition, he cautioned against discussions of impunity, arguing that while politically and morally symbolic, this practice often backfires and alienates important factions of the state apparatus which are vital for the function and success of a new government.
Hamzawy similarly encouraged carefully blending nationalism and populism to keep divisions within the public sector in check. Imbuing such narratives with pro-democracy rhetoric, he believes, can create a powerful tool for unifying the population around the new government and emerging national identity.
The advice from the Europe Center's director, Anna Grzymala-Busse, succinctly brought together many of the points made by the faculty panel: "No post-transitional government can achieve all the promises they've made right away," said Grzymala-Busse. "So make the transition about processes rather than specific outcomes, about ensuring the losers are heard along with the winners, and about making sure all people can participate."
Additional participants in the roundtable discussion not noted above include Hanna Liubakova, a journalist and non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council, Dmytro Kushneruk, the Consul General of Ukraine in San Francisco, and Stanford scholars Larry Diamond, David Holloway, Norman Naimark, Erik Jensen, Kiyoteru Tsutsui and John Dunlop.
Read More
Democratic leader Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya and her delegation joined an interdisciplinary panel of Stanford scholars and members of the Belarusian community to discuss the future of democracy in Belarus.
A Discussion on Democracy in Belarus with Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
THIS EVENT HAS MOVED TO THURSDAY, JULY 29, 2021 from 12:00 PM - 1:00 PM
This event will be held via Zoom: REGISTER HERE
The Freeman Spogli Institute (FSI) is honored to host Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya for a roundtable discussion on the future of democracy in Belarus. Tsikhanouskaya is a human rights and pro-democracy activist who ran as an independent presidential candidate for Belarus in 2020. Her campaign attracted a wide range of support from across Belarus’s political opposition, and her loss to sitting president Alexander Lukashenko spurred allegations of wide-spread voting fraud and led to the largest public protests in the history of post-Soviet Belarus.
Tsikhanouskaya continues to advocate for the democratic future of Belarus despite her self-exile to Lithuania following her election loss. Her remarks at FSI are in conjunction with her July tour of the United States to spread awareness of the pro-democracy cause and lobby the Biden administration to impose additional sanctions against Belarusian industry. She will share her experiences as a leader and organizer for change and discuss the challenges she sees for Belarus moving forward. FSI Director Michael McFaul will moderate the discussion.
Ford Dorsey Master's in International Policy - Admissions Webinar
Join Recruitment and Admissions Manager Meghan Moura to learn more about the Master's in International Policy program and how to apply. Please register in advance.
The Ford Dorsey Master's in International Policy (MIP) is a two year, full-time, professional graduate degree program. The M.A. degree is earned through completion of core and elective coursework, an area of specialization, and a capstone project. The program is interdisciplinary in nature, and students are encouraged to pursue coursework that spans academic fields at Stanford. Specializations within the program include: Cyber Policy and Security (CYBER); Energy, Natural Resources, and the Environment (ENRE); Global Health (GH) [incorporated into the GOVDEV specialization as of Septemeber 2020]; Governance and Development (GOVDEV); and International Security (ISEC).
Register: https://bit.ly/3y6bB5q
James X. Dempsey
Jim Dempsey is senior policy advisor to the Stanford Program on Geopolitics, Technology and Governance and a lecturer at the UC Berkeley School of Law, where he teaches a course on cybersecurity law in the LLM program. Until May 2021, Jim was Executive Director of the Berkeley Center for Law & Technology. In 2012, after Senate confirmation, he was appointed by President Barack Obama as a part-time member of the U.S. Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board, an independent agency within the federal government charged with advising senior policymakers and overseeing the nation’s counterterrorism programs. He served in that position until January 2017, while also running BCLT.
From 1997 to 2014, Dempsey was at the Center for Democracy & Technology (CDT), a non-profit public policy organization focused on privacy and other issues affecting the internet, where he held a number of leadership positions. Prior to that he was deputy director of the Center for National Security Studies (1995-1997) and assistant counsel to the House Judiciary Committee (1985-1995), focusing on privacy, FBI oversight, and surveillance issues.
Jim graduated from Yale College and Harvard Law School.
BOOKS:
- Cybersecurity Law Fundamentals, with John P. Carlin (2d ed. IAPP, 2024)
- Bulk Collection: Systematic Government Access to Private-Sector Data (ed., with Fred H. Cate) (Oxford, 2017)
- Terrorism and the Constitution (with David Cole) (New Press, 2006)
ARTICLES AND PAPERS
- Challenging the Machine: Contestability in Government AI Systems - Recommendations and Summary of Workshop on Advanced Automated Systems, Contestability, and the Law (with Susan Landau, Ece Kamar and Steven M. Bellovin (June 2024)
- Recommendations for Government Development and Use of Advanced Automated Systems to Make Decisions about Individuals (with Susan Landau, Ece Kamar and Steven M. Bellovin) (March 2024)
- Standards for Software Liability: Focus on the Product for Liability, Focus on the Process for Safe Harbor (Jan. 2024)
- Generative AI: The Security and Privacy Risks of Large Language Models (Apr. 2023)
- Adversarial Machine Learning and Cybersecurity: Risks, Challenges, and Legal Implications (April 2023) (with Micah Musser et al.)
- Vulnerability Disclosure and Management for AI/ML Systems: A Working Paper with Policy Recommendations (Nov. 10, 2021) (with Andrew J. Grotto)
- Data Collection: Lessons of Cost-Benefit Analysis, Skepticism, and Legal Transparency, 12 Georgetown Journal of National Security Law & Policy 127 (2021)
- Breaking the Privacy Gridlock: A Broader Look at Remedies (April, 2021) (with Chris Jay Hoofnagle, Ira S. Rubinstein, and Katherine J. Strandburg)
- Cybersecurity Information Sharing Governance Structures: An Ecosystem of Diversity, Trust, and Tradeoffs (with Elaine M. Sedenberg), in Rewired: Cybersecurity Governance (2018)
- The Path to ECPA Reform and the Implications of United States v. Jones, Univ. of San Francisco L. Rev. (2012)
- Privacy as an Enabler, Not an Impediment: Building Trust into Health Information Exchange, Vol, 28, no. 2, Health Affairs (2009) (with Deven McGraw, Leslie Harris and Janlori Goldman)
COMMENTARY
- Data brokers, beware: Distinguishing PADFAA from the DOJ's DSP (with Cheryl Saniuk-Heinig), IAPP (Aug. 15, 2025)
- Risk analysis is the foundation of data security, but regulator approaches differ, IAPP (Aug. 8, 2025)
- California adopts Cybersecurity Audit Rule, outlining 'reasonable' cybersecurity, IAPP (July 24, 2025)
- The Cybersecurity Patchwork Quilt Remains Incomplete, Lawfare (July 16, 2025)
- The final days of grace: Preparing for the U.S. sensitive data rule (with Cheryl Saniuk-Heinig), IAPP (June 9, 2025)
- Cybersecurity Risk From Kaspersky to TikTok (with Daniel Sutherland), Lawfare (May 28, 2025)
- The MAGA Case for Software Liability, Lawfare (Feb. 19, 2025)
- Biden’s final order on cybersecurity represents evolution, not revolution, IAPP (Jan. 17, 2025)
- HHS proposes major overhaul of HIPAA security rule, IAPP (Jan. 2, 2025)
- The FCC issues cybersecurity model for the mobile telecommunications industry, IAPP (Oct. 2, 2024)
- Cybersecurity and the cloud: Lessons from FCC cloud breach enforcement, IAPP (Sept. 19, 2024)
- Stitching Together the Cybersecurity Patchwork Quilt: Infrastructure, Lawfare (Sept. 18, 2024)
- Stitching Together the Cybersecurity Patchwork Quilt: Data, Lawfare (Aug. 30, 2024)
- Making Attestation Work for Software Security, Lawfare (July 18, 2024)
- Challenging the Machine: Insights from a Workshop on Contestability of Advanced Automated Systems (with Susan Landau), Lawfare (June 21, 2024)
- Major trends in U.S. cybersecurity law and policy (with John P. Carlin), IAPP (April 24, 2024)
- Challenging the Machine: Contestability in Government AI Systems (with Susan Landau), Lawfare (March 11, 2024)
- A Cyber Threat to U.S. Drinking Water, Lawfare (Dec. 21, 2023)
- Enforcement of Cybersecurity Regulations: Part 3, Lawfare (Apr. 14, 2023)
- Addressing the Security Risks of AI, Lawfare (Apr. 11, 2023)
- Enforcement of Cybersecurity Regulations: Part 2, Lawfare (Mar. 21, 2023)
- Enforcement of Cybersecurity Regulations: Part 1, Lawfare (Mar. 21, 2023)
- Cybersecurity’s Third Rail: Software Liability, Lawfare (Mar. 2, 2023)
- One Small Legislative Step for Cybersecurity, Lawfare (Jan. 9, 2023)
- The FTC’s rapidly evolving standards for MFA, IAPP Privacy Perspectives (Nov. 8, 2022)
- Cybersecurity Regulation: It’s Not ‘Performance-Based’ If Outcomes Can’t Be Measured, Lawfare (Oct. 6, 2022)
- Third circuit shows how to establish standing in data breach cases, IAPP Privacy Perspectives (Sept. 9, 2022)
- Preemption of State Cybersecurity Laws: It’s Complicated, Lawfare (Aug. 24, 2022)
- A Quick Take on the FTC’s Privacy and Security Rulemaking, (Aug. 12, 2022)
- FTC signals expanded breach notice obligations, IAPP Privacy Perspectives (June 10,2022)
- Medical Device Security Offers Proving Ground for Cybersecurity Action, Lawfare (June 9, 2022)
- Exceptions in new US state privacy laws leave data without security coverage, IAPP Privacy Perspectives (May 17, 2022)
- Cybersecurity and the ‘Good Cause’ Exception to the APA, Lawfare (April 29, 2022)
- Key data security insights from FTC CafePress settlement, IAPP Privacy Advisor (March 22, 2022)
- Cybersecurity Tools Lie Unused in Federal Agencies’ Toolboxes, Lawfare (Feb. 22, 2022)
- Managing the Cybersecurity Vulnerabilities of Artificial Intelligence, Lawfare (Nov. 17,2021)
- Mitigating Big Data’s Unintended Consequences, Luohan on Air Podcast (September 4, 2021)
- Regulatory Alchemy: Turning Cybersecurity Guidelines Into Rules, Lawfare Blog (June 1, 2021)
- A Broader Look at Privacy Remedies, Lawfare Blog (April 7, 2021)
- The New IOT Security Act Shows the Limits of Congressional Policymaking for Cybersecurity, Lawfare Blog (December 22, 2020)
- The Strategic Vision Behind the TikTok, WeChat Bans, Lawfare Blog (August 11, 2020)
- Bans on Foreign Equipment in U.S. Critical Infrastructure, Lawfare Blog (May 19, 2020)
- Why the Fifth Circuit HIPAA case doesn’t mean ‘game over’ for HHS data security enforcement, IAPP blog (Mar. 31, 2021)
- Section 702 Renewal: Opportunities Lost and Gained, American Constitution Society blog (Jan. 28, 2018)