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This event is co-sponsored by The Abbasi Program in Islamic Studies

 

The once much-hailed success story of Turkey’s democracy as a “regional model” has been decidedly replaced by studies of its breakdown. With its ever-increasing centralization of power under a one-man regime, some might now see Turkey as a “global model” for a new authoritarianism.


Why has the response of North Atlantic democracies to the erosion of Turkey’s democracy been muted? Is Turkey’s policy of “hostage diplomacy” and offers of trade deals paying off? Can democracy still make a comeback in Turkey? What lessons can the global democratic public draw from Turkey’s struggle?


In this panel, academics from Turkey will explore Turkey’s new political reality, prospects for change, and the international context.

 

 


 

Halil Yenigun Stanford University
Yektan Turkyilmaz Fresno State University
Eda Erdener Academics for Peace, former Bingol University Professor
Sinan Birdal University of Southern California
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Changes in Clinical Practice Among Physicians with Legal Problems

David Studdert, LLB, ScD, MPH with Co-Authors Michelle Mello, PhD, JD & Matthew Spittal, PhD

Recent evidence indicates that a small group of physicians accounts for a surprisingly large share of all malpractice claims and patient complaints.  Next to nothing is known about the career trajectories of these claim-prone physicians.  Do they continue to practice, and if so, do they alter their clinical load?  Do they cut ties—voluntarily or involuntarily—with hospitals and large practice groups?  Do they seek to put their checkered history behind them by relocating—interstate or to areas where clinicians are in short supply?  We explore these questions in a large cohort of US physicians. 

RSVP is now closed.

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The Effect on Healthcare Costs of Treating Comorbid Depressive Disorder with Chronic Disease

Objective: Does the cost of treating depressive disorder comorbidity inflate the cost of treating other chronic conditions?  The answer is important both to payers and to those organizing health care delivery.

Methods: Results from the national Medical Expenditure Panel Survey of 2015 (N≈30,000) provided the data. We estimated costs from medical records and from the self-reported utilization of healthcare. Using the Mental Health Component Summary score of the 12-Item Short Form we estimated the level of depression. We used a general linear model to estimate costs with fixed effects for chronic disease (present or absent) and depression (highest third, middle third, lowest third). Physical health/functional status served as a covariate. We analyzed each of eight different chronic conditions (arthritis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, high cholesterol, cancer, diabetes, stroke, coronary heart disease, and asthma) separately.

Results: In each of these analyses, the presence or absence of the chronic condition had a strong impact on cost. In addition, being at the highest level of depression also had a significant impact on cost. However, the interaction between depression and chronic disease diagnoses tended to account for only a small amount of variation in cost.

Conclusion: The combination of depression and chronic disease diagnosis did not have a strong synergistic effect on the cost of medical care. An additive model provides a more parsimonious explanation of data from this national sample.


Robert M. Kaplan, PhD

Clinical Excellence Research Center, Stanford University School of Medicine

Robert M. Kaplan, PhD is research director at CERC.  He has served as Chief Science Officer at the US Agency for Health Care Research and Quality (AHRQ) and Associate Director of the National Institutes of Health, where he led the behavioral and social sciences programs.  He is also a Distinguished Emeritus Professor of Health Services and Medicine at UCLA, where he led the UCLA/RAND AHRQ health services training program and the UCLA/RAND CDC Prevention Research Center. He was Chair of the Department of Health Services from 2004 to 2009.  From 1997 to 2004 he was Professor and Chair of the Department of Family and Preventive Medicine, at the University of California, San Diego. He is a past President of several organizations, including the American Psychological Association Division of Health Psychology, Section J of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (Pacific), the International Society for Quality of Life Research, the Society for Behavioral Medicine, and the Academy of Behavioral Medicine Research. Kaplan is a former Editor-in-Chief of Health Psychology and of the Annals of Behavioral Medicine.  His 20 books and over 500 articles or chapters have been cited more than 30,000 times and the ISI includes him in the listing of the most cited authors in his field (defined as above the 99.5th percentile).  Kaplan is an elected member of the National Academy of Medicine (formerly the Institute of Medicine).  Dr. Kaplan is currently Regenstrief Distinguished Fellow at Purdue University and Adjunct Professor of Medicine at Stanford University.


Lunch will be provided to those who RSVP.

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Moving Precision Medicine into Clinical Care and Health Policies: UCSF, Stanford, and Beyond

Precision medicine has evolved from a distant promise to reality, with many genomic tests now used in clinical care. Dr. Phillips will discuss the opportunities for researchers and clinicians to address the health policy implications of precision medicine, with a particular focus on opportunities at UCSF and Stanford. She will discuss a case study of a recent and highly controversial CMS national coverage decision on sequencing tests for cancer patients based on her article in JAMA 4/16/2018 (Phillips KA. Evolving Payer Coverage Policies on Genomic Sequencing Tests: Beginning of the End or End of the Beginning?)


Kathryn A. Phillips, PhD

Professor of Health Economics and Health Services Research and Founding Director, UCSF Center for Translational and Policy Research on Personalized Medicine University of California, San Francisco

Kathryn Phillips’s expertise is in the implementation of new technologies to improve healthcare. In 2007, she founded the UCSF Center for Translational and Policy Research on Personalized Medicine, which focuses on how to develop objective evidence on value and payer coverage of precision/personalized medicine. Dr. Phillips has published ~150 articles in major journals, including JAMA, New England Journal of Medicine, and Health Affairs, and has had continuous funding from the NIH as a Principal Investigator for 25 years. She serves on the editorial boards of the journals Health Affairs and Value in Health as well as all of the leading journals on precision medicine. A distinguishing characteristic of Dr. Phillips’ work is the translation of science into policy by bringing together perspectives across stakeholders. She has worked extensively with health plans, industry, and government agencies across the globe and has served on national and international scientific advisory committees for the National Academy of Medicine, Food and Drug Administration, and the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology. Dr. Phillips is now serving on the Board of Directors for GenomeCanada (a non-profit organization that oversees and funds genomic research in Canada). In 2016, she was awarded a Rockefeller Foundation Bellagio Residency to pursue her work from a global perspective. Dr. Phillips holds degrees from UC-Berkeley, Harvard, and UT-Austin.


Lunch will be provided to those who RSVP.

Oksenberg Conference Room

Encina Hall

616 Serra Street

Stanford, CA 94305

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Please note the venue change to the Bechtel Conference Center

Encina Hall, 1st floor. We have reached venue capacity. RSVPs are closed.

Peter Baker is the chief White House correspondent for The New York Times covering President Donald J. Trump. He previously covered the presidencies of Barack Obama, George W. Bush and Bill Clinton.

Mr. Baker joined The Times in 2008 after 20 years at The Washington Post. He began writing about Mr. Obama at the inception of his administration, through health care and economic debates, the raid that killed Osama bin Laden, the re-election campaign and decisions over war and peace in Iraq, Afghanistan and Syria. During his first tour at the White House, Mr. Baker was a co-author of the original story breaking the Monica Lewinsky scandal and served as The Post’s lead writer on the impeachment battle. During his next White House assignment, he covered the travails of Mr. Bush’s second term, from the Iraq war and Hurricane Katrina to Supreme Court nomination fights and the economy.

In between stints at the White House, Mr. Baker and his wife, Susan Glasser, spent four years as Moscow bureau chiefs, chronicling the rise of Vladimir V. Putin, the rollback of Russian democracy, the second Chechen war and the terrorist attacks on a theater in Moscow and a school in Beslan. Mr. Baker also covered the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. He was the first American newspaper journalist to report from rebel-held northern Afghanistan after Sept. 11, 2001, and he spent the next eight months covering the overthrow of the Taliban and the emergence of a new government. He later spent six months in the Middle East, reporting from inside Saddam Hussein's Iraq and around the region before embedding with the United States Marines as they drove toward Baghdad.

Baker is the author of four books, most recently “Obama: The Call of History,” an illustrated history of the 44th president.

A native of the Washington area, Mr. Baker attended Oberlin College.


The Payne Lectureship is named for Frank E. Payne and Arthur W. Payne, brothers who gained an appreciation for global problems through their international business operations. Their descendants endowed the annual lecture series at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies in order to raise public understanding of the complex policy issues facing the global community today and to increase support for informed international cooperation.

The Payne Distinguished Lecturer is chosen for his or her international reputation as a leader, with an emphasis on visionary thinking; a broad, practical grasp of a given field; and the capacity to clearly articulate an important perspective on the global community and its challenges.

Peter Baker Chief White House Correspondent, The New York Times
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Hate propaganda has been a feature of politics in India, Indonesia, and other Asian democracies long before the recent surge in interest in so-called “fake news” and intolerant populism in the West. This presentation dissects the political strategy of “hate spin,” which includes not only the use of hate speech or incitement, but also the creative manufacture of righteous indignation and popular mobilization framed as responses to victimhood. Examples include the “love jihad” conspiracy theory in India and blasphemy allegations in Indonesia, which have been used to devastating effect by religious nationalists. Existing religious-offense laws have backfired, while incitement laws, though necessary, are systemically incapable of dealing with hate propagandists’ highly sophisticated and distributed disinformation campaigns.  The speaker's book on this topic, Hate Spin, will be available for sale at his talk.

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Cherian George is a professor of media studies at Hong Kong Baptist University. He is the author of Hate Spin: The Manufacture of Religious Offense and its Threat to Democracy (2016), which was named on Publishers Weekly’s list of the 100 best books of 2016. Prof. George’s PhD is from Stanford University’s Department of Communication (2003). He was previously a journalist with The Straits Times in his native Singapore. His latest book on Singapore is the self-published Singapore, Incomplete: Reflections on a First World Nation’s Arrested Political Development (2017).

Cherian George Professor of Media Studies, Hong Kong Baptist University
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Abstract:

In 2002 and 2003, Americans pointed to Japan after the Second World War as a model which proved that enemy countries could be remade into stable democratic allies through short military occupation. Planners and politicians drew on their understanding of events in Japan to learn "lessons" for a post-Saddam Iraq. In the years since, it has become common to blame the failures of intervention in Iraq on American ignorance and insufficient planning. But is that popular characterization correct? This talk discusses whether and how the planning phases for Japan and Iraq differed, and with what implications for the occupied countries.

 

Speaker Bio:

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dbarnes1
Dr. Dayna Barnes is a specialist in 20th century international history, American foreign policy, and East Asia. She is a visiting scholar at Stanford University's Center on Democracy, Development and Rule of Law, and assistant professor of history at City, University of London. Her book, Architects of Occupation: American Experts and the Planning for Postwar Japan, was published in Cornell University Press in March 2017.

Visiting Scholar at CDDRL
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Abstract:

The South African democratic process has crossed two significant milestones. One is political legitimacy in the sense that there is no significant threat to the constitution or political systems that the country adopted in 1996. Secondly, the systemic instability threat arising from the counter-revolutionary apartheid forces is now something of the past. There is simply no imminent threat of a retreat to the country’s authoritarian and racist past. The elusive goals remain in the economic arena – namely inclusive growth, widening inequality and slow development. How is the country shaping up to these challenges?

 

Speaker Bio:

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maphai
Professor Vincent Maphai an unusual and distinguished career in academia, private sector and public service. He is currently a visiting Professor at Williams College, Massachusetts, Center for Global Studies. In an academic career spanning two decades, he studied and taught at various universities both locally. He was professor extraordinaire in the Department of Political Science at the University of South Africa (UNISA).. who held fellowships at Harvard (1988), Princeton (1989) and Stanford (1995). From 1991 to 1994 he was associate professor and head of the political science department at the University of the Western Cape. He also served as a Research Executive Director of social dynamics at the HSRC for three years..

Vincent Maphai Visiting Professor at Williams College
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Speaker Bio:

Beatriz Magaloni Beatriz Magaloni
Beatriz Magaloni is an Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and a Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) at Stanford University. She is also an affiliated faculty member of the Woods Institute of the Environment (2011-2013) and a Faculty Fellow at the Stanford Center for International Development. Her first book, Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico (Cambridge University Press, 2006), won the Best Book Award from the Comparative Democratization Section of the American Political Science Association and the 2007 Leon Epstein Award for the Best Book published in the previous two years in the area of political parties and organizations. Her second book, Strategies of Vote Buying: Democracy, Clientelism, and Poverty Relief in Mexico (co-authored with Alberto Diaz Cayeros and Federico Estévez), studies the politics of poverty relief. Why clientelism is such a prevalent form of electoral exchange, how it distorts policies aimed at aiding the poor, and when it can be superseded by more democratic and accountable forms of electoral exchange are some of the central questions that the book addresses.

Dept. of Political Science
Encina Hall, Room 436
Stanford University,
Stanford, CA

(650) 724-5949
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Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Graham H. Stuart Professor of International Relations
Professor of Political Science
beatriz_magaloni_2024.jpg MA, PhD

Beatriz Magaloni Magaloni is the Graham Stuart Professor of International Relations at the Department of Political Science. Magaloni is also a Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute, where she holds affiliations with the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL) and the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC). She is also a Stanford’s King Center for Global Development faculty affiliate. Magaloni has taught at Stanford University for over two decades.

She leads the Poverty, Violence, and Governance Lab (Povgov). Founded by Magaloni in 2010, Povgov is one of Stanford University’s leading impact-driven knowledge production laboratories in the social sciences. Under her leadership, Povgov has innovated and advanced a host of cutting-edge research agendas to reduce violence and poverty and promote peace, security, and human rights.

Magaloni’s work has contributed to the study of authoritarian politics, poverty alleviation, indigenous governance, and, more recently, violence, crime, security institutions, and human rights. Her first book, Voting for Autocracy: Hegemonic Party Survival and its Demise in Mexico (Cambridge University Press, 2006) is widely recognized as a seminal study in the field of comparative politics. It received the 2007 Leon Epstein Award for the Best Book published in the previous two years in the area of political parties and organizations, as well as the Best Book Award from the American Political Science Association’s Comparative Democratization Section. Her second book The Politics of Poverty Relief: Strategies of Vote Buying and Social Policies in Mexico (with Alberto Diaz-Cayeros and Federico Estevez) (Cambridge University Press, 2016) explores how politics shapes poverty alleviation.

Magaloni’s work was published in leading journals, including the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, Criminology & Public Policy, World Development, Comparative Political Studies, Annual Review of Political Science, Cambridge Journal of Evidence-Based Policing, Latin American Research Review, and others.

Magaloni received wide international acclaim for identifying innovative solutions for salient societal problems through impact-driven research. In 2023, she was named winner of the world-renowned Stockholm Prize in Criminology, considered an equivalent of the Nobel Prize in the field of criminology. The award recognized her extensive research on crime, policing, and human rights in Mexico and Brazil. Magaloni’s research production in this area was also recognized by the American Political Science Association, which named her recipient of the 2021 Heinz I. Eulau Award for the best article published in the American Political Science Review, the leading journal in the discipline.

She received her Ph.D. in political science from Duke University and holds a law degree from the Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México.

Director, Poverty, Violence, and Governance Lab
Co-director, Democracy Action Lab
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Associate Professor in the Department of Political Science and a Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) at Stanford University
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Abstract:

Financial markets expose individuals to the broader economy. Does participation in fi nancial markets also lead individuals to re-evaluate the costs of conflict, their views on politics and even their votes? Prior to the 2015 Israeli elections, we randomly assigned fi nancial assets from Israeli and Palestinian companies to likely voters and gave them incentives to actively trade for up to seven weeks. Opportunities to trade in fi nancial markets systematically shifted vote choices and increased support for peace initiatives. These effects persist a year after the experiment, and appear consistent with fi nancial market exposure leading to increased awareness of the economic risks of conflict.

 

Speaker Bio:

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saumitra jha
Along with being a Senior Fellow at FSI, Saumitra Jha is an Associate Professor of Political Economy at the Stanford Graduate School of Business, by courtesy, of Economics and of Political Science, and a Senior Fellow at SIEPR. Saum holds a BA from Williams College, master’s degrees in economics and mathematics from the University of Cambridge, and a PhD in economics from Stanford University. Prior to returning to Stanford, he was an Academy Scholar at Harvard University. Saum has been a Fellow of the Niehaus Center for Globalization and Governance and the Center for the Study of Democratic Politics at Princeton University and received the Michael Wallerstein Award for best published article in Political Economy from the American Political Science Association in 2014 for his research on ethnic tolerance. Saumitra has consulted on economic and political risk issues for the United Nations/ WTO, the World Bank and other organizations. Having grown up in England, Scotland and the Indian Himalaya, Saum's research interests now take him to Israel, Japan, Mexico and elsewhere.

Saumitra Jha Associate Professor of Political Economy at Stanford’s Graduate School of Business
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