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Stanford Summer Juku on Japanese Political Economy (SSJ-JPE)

August 11-14, 2014

Oksenberg Conference Room

Stanford Japan Program at Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center

The Japan Program at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (S-APARC) at Stanford University started Stanford Summer Juku (SSJ) in 2014.  In SSJ, researchers on Japanese politics and Japanese economy get together and discuss their research in a relaxed setting. The second annual meeting is held at Stanford on August 11-14, 2014.  The first two days again focus on research in political science/political economy and international relations, and the latter two days focus on research in economics and business.

Takeo Hoshi, Kenji E. Kushida, Phillip Lipscy

 

Program

8/11/2013

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"Japan's Abandoned Partisans: Realignment after Electoral Reform", Kenneth McElwain (University of Michigan)

Discussants:
Daniel M. Smith (Harvard University)
Karen Jusko (Stanford University)
 

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"Political Dynasties and the Selection of Cabinet Ministers: The Legacy Advantage in Japan and Ireland" Daniel M. Smith (Harvard University), Shane Martin (University of Leicester)

Discussants:
Gary Cox (Stanford University)
Kenneth McElwain (University of Michigan)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Running the Right Race: The Impact of Electoral Rules on Celebrity Candidate Entry", Justin Reeves (University of California, San Diego)

Discussants:
Ikuo Kume (Waseda University)
Kenneth McElwain (University of Michigan)
 

2:15- 3:30   Session IV:

"Chasing the Median Voter: A Legislator Experiment on Support for Agricultural Protectionism", Megumi Naoi (University of California, San Diego)

Discussants:
Kenneth Scheve (Stanford University)
Kay Shimizu (Columbia University)

 

8/12/2013

8:30-9:00   Breakfast

9:00-10:15 Session I:

"Inside the Castle Gates: The Political Strategies of Foreign Multinational Corporations and Institutional Change in Japan", Kenji E. Kushida (Stanford University)

Discussants:
William Grimes (Boston University)
Masahiko Aoki (Stanford University)

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"Institions and Central Bank Norm Diffusion: Abenomics and the Delayed Break with the Monetary Orthodoxy", Gene Park (Loyola Marymount University), Saori Katada (University of Southern California), and Giacomo Chiozza (Vanderbilt University)

Discussants:
William Grimes
(Boston University)
Phillip Lipscy (Stanford University)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Guns and Trades: How Realist Rhetoric Mobilizes Mass Support for Trade Agreements", Ikuo Kume (Waseda University)

Discussants:
Daniel M. Smith (Harvard University)
Steve Vogel (University of California, Berkeley)

2:15-3:30    Session IV:

"Japan Agriculture (JA) and the Institional Parameters of Local Agricultural Innovation", Patricia Maclachlan (University of Texas) and Kay Shimizu (Columbia University)

Discussants:
Megumi Naoi (University of California, San Diego)
Kenji E. Kushida (Stanford University)

 

6:30        Group Dinner

 

8/13/2013

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"The Impact of Japan on Western Management: Theory and Practice", Christina L. Ahmadjian (Hitotsubashi University) and Ulrike Schaede (University of California, San Diego)

Discussants:
Mariko Sakakibara (University of California, Los Angeles)
Robert Cole (University of California, Berkeley)

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"Does Unconventional Monetary Policy Affect Inequality? Evidence from Japan", Ayako Saiki (De Nederlandsche Bank) and Jon Frost (De Nederlandsche Bank)

Discussants:
Helen Popper (Santa Clara University)
Brad DeLong (University of California, Berkeley)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Do Risk Preferences Change? Evidence from Panel Data Before and After the Great East Japan Earthquake", Chie Hanaoka(Kyoto Sangyo University), Hitoshi Shigeoka (Simon Fraser University), Yasutora Watanabe (Northwestern University)

Discussants:
Chiaki Moriguchi (Hitotsubashi University)
Takeo Hoshi (Stanford University)

2:15-3:30    Session IV:

"The Economics of Attribute-Based Regulation: Theory and Evidence from Fuel-Economy Standards", Koichiro Ito (Boston University) and James M. Sallee (University of Chicago)

Discussants:
Hiroyuki Kasahara (University of British Columbia)
Junjie Zhang (University of California, San Diego)

 

8/14/2013

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-10:15  Session I:

"Abenomics: Preliminary Analysis and Outlook", Joshua K. Hausman (University of Michigan) and Johannes F. Wieland (University of California, San Diego)

Discussants:
Michael Hutchison (University of California, Santa Cruz)
Takatoshi Ito (University of Tokyo)

10:15-10:45  Break

10:45-12:00  Session II:

"The Effect of Bank Recapitalization Policy on Corporate Investment: Evidence from a Banking Crisis in Japan", Hiroyuki Kasahara (University of British Columbia), Yasuyuki Sawada (University of Tokyo), and Michio Suzuki (University of Tokyo)

Discussants:
David Vera (Fresno State University)
Mark Spiegel (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:15    Session III:

"Lending to Unhealthy Firms in Japan during the Lost Decade: WTF", Suparna Chakraborty (University of San Francisco) and Joe Peek(Federal Reserve Board)

Discussants:
Ayako Yasuda (University of California, Davis)
Satoshi Koibuchi (Chuo University)

 

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Herb Lin has a long agenda crafted from big ideas.

As CISAC’s inaugural senior research scholar for cyber policy and security, Lin intends to make Stanford the premier hub for academic research and public policy in an effort to protect the world’s computer networks against cyber attacks.

“When I was recruited, Stanford told me to think big. So I’m thinking big,” says Lin, who comes to Stanford from the National Research Council of the National Academies in Washington, D.C., where he was chief scientist at the Computer Science and Telecommunications Board.

“Part of my job is also to find a way to build cyber connections to other parts of the campus – law, medicine, the business school, engineering – so there are a variety of interesting possibilities that I’d like to tackle.”

Even before taking up his new role at Stanford last month, Lin worked with CISAC co-director Amy Zegart to convene a three-day boot camp that brought together Silicon Valley heavyweights and congressional staffers working on critical cyber legislation.

Lin wants to launch a policy journal devoted to research about cybersecurity. He hopes to construct the university’s first undergraduate courses about the foreign policy and economic implications of cybersecurity, as well as the risk analysis of cyberspace. He will represent Stanford's efforts in public commentaries, such as the one he wrote for The Wall Street Journal about how companies can ward off hackers.

And Lin was instrumental in facilitating the Feb. 12-13 White House Summit on Cybersecurity and Consumer Protection at Stanford University. President Barack Obama addressed the summit, the first time a sitting U.S. president conducted business on the Stanford campus in 40 years.

“Obviously the president has a great bully pulpit here, and is highlighting the importance of cybersecurity on the national policy agenda,” said Lin. “We are particularly delighted that he’s come to Stanford – which is recognition of our role in advancing the cybersecurity interests of the nation.”

Lin, who took up his new role at CISAC in January and is also a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, plans to reach across campus to help the university establish a cohesive strategy for the intersection of cyber policy and international security.

 

 

“Cyber touches many facets of life,” said Lin, who has a Ph.D. in physics from MIT. “Some of us are interested in the implications of cyber for international security and foreign relations. Others focus on how protect the nation’s critical infrastructure. Still others are trying to develop tools that can be used to make better decisions about consumer protections. I’d like to bring all of that under one coherent theme.”

Lin also helped organize the Department of Commerce’s National Institute of Standards and Technology workshop at Stanford on Feb. 12. The roundtable, which was in coordination with the White House summit, brought together chief technology and security executives to discuss the challenges of implementing consumer protection technologies in real-world conditions.

Lin moderated a panel at that workshop about academic research that has applications for consumer protections against cyber threats. Michael Daniel, special assistant to the president and cybersecurity coordinator at the White House, gave the keynote at the workshop.

Cybersecurity has become a priority for the Obama administration. The White House in October launched the BuySecure initiative, which includes reforms such as securing payment systems and preventing identity theft. Obama also spoke about cybersecurity in his State of the Union address on Jan. 20.

“No foreign nation, no hacker, should be able to shut down our networks, steal our trade secrets or invade the privacy of American families, especially our kids,’ Obama said.

Track II Diplomacy

Just as CISAC scholars have for decades been involved in Track II diplomacy in foreign policy, nuclear arms control, and counterinsurgency, Lin would like to see Stanford build on that by facilitating dialogue with other nations about ways to protect and defend their digital networks against cyber attacks and breaches.

“CISAC, as you know, has a long tradition of having nuclear dialogue with China and Russia, even during the coldest periods of the Cold War,” said Lin. “I’d like there to be a Track II diplomacy effort for cyber based here at Stanford, which many Chinese regard as the world’s No. 1 university.  That’s a very attractive platform from which a cyber dialog can be started and sustained.”

CISAC Senior Research Scholar for Cyber Policy and Security, and a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, says to understand cybersecurity you must first understand the basic components of locks and keys.

Finally, Lin intends to work with academics and scientists at Columbia University and the American Academy of Arts and Sciences to establish a boot camp for scholars of international relations and political science who want to work on cyber issues.

Last August, Lin worked with Zegart – who is also a senior fellow and associate director for academic affairs at Hoover – to bring in two dozen senior congressional staffers for a rigorous boot camp that paired them with military, academic and technology experts working at the highest levels of cybersecurity.

The three-day camp drew such names at Google Chairman Eric Schmidt and Facebook’s Chief Information Officer Joe Sullivan. Many of the congressional staffers said it was the first time they’d had the chance to closely interact with the very tech executives for whom they are working on protections and legislation.

Stanford announced in November it had launched the Stanford Cyber Initiative with the support of a Hewlett Foundation grant of $15 million. The initiative will take an interdisciplinary approach to address the challenges raised by cyber technologies.

Michael McFaul, director of CISAC’s parent organization, the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, said Stanford is poised to lead in the cyber arena.

“We have a tradition and an ability to do things in an interdisciplinary way,” said McFaul, a professor of political science and a senior fellow at Hoover.

“I think we’re uniquely qualified and uniquely placed to tackle all those here at Stanford, especially because we sit at the heart of Silicon Valley,” said McFaul, who was the U.S. ambassador to Russia for President Obama before returning to Stanford last year. “I expect to see Stanford become the leading institution in the world for addressing cybersecurity issues.”

Readers can learn more about Stanford University’s push into cybersecurity here.

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CISAC Senior Research Scholar for Cyber Policy and Security, and a research fellow at the Hoover Institution, says to understand cybersecurity you must first understand the basic components of locks and keys.
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Stanford Summer Juku on Japanese Political Economy (SSJ-JPE)

August 19-22, 2013

Oksenberg Conference Room

Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, Stanford University

The Japan Studies Program at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (S-APARC) at Stanford University is starting an exciting new program called Stanford Summer Juku (SSJ).  In SSJ, researchers on Japanese politics and Japanese economy get together and discuss their research in a relaxed setting.  In addition to presentation and discussion of research papers that is standard for any academic conference, SSJ is distinctive by setting aside ample time for informal discussions and interactions.  We believe you will find this an excellent opportunity to expand your network of researchers on Japan in both political science and economics.  We also hope that the interactions at SSJ will lead to some future collaboration among the participants.

Our inaugural meeting will be held at Stanford on August 19-22, 2013.  The first two days will focus on research in political science/political economy and international relations, and the latter two days will focus on research in business and economics. 

Finally, a little bit about the name of this program;  Juku here does not refer to modern Japanese cram schools.  What we have in mind is the private schools at the end of Edo period, which attracted young motivated students and ended up producing numerous leaders in the Meiji period.  Our goal is to attract many young researchers who will go on to become leaders in the studies of Japanese politics and Japanese economy in the near future.  We look forward to welcoming you to Stanford this summer.

Takeo Hoshi, Kenji E. Kushida, Phillip Lipscy

 

Report - Stanford Summer Juku 2013

 

Program

 

8/19/2013

8:30-9:00    Breakfast

9:00-9:15    Welcome: Gi-Wook Shin, (Director, Shorenstein APARC, Stanford University)

9:15-10:25  Session I:

"America's Role in Making Japan's Economic Miracle: New Evidence for a Landmark Case", Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth College), Michael Beckley (Tufts University), and Jennifer M. Miller (Dartmouth College)

Discussants:
Amy Catalinac (Australian National University)
William Grimes (Boston University)
 

10:25-10:50  Break

10:50-12:00  Session II:

"The Electoral Politics of Energy", Phillip Lipscy (Stanford University)

Discussants:
Greg Noble (University of Tokyo)
Yusaku Horiuchi (Dartmouth College)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:10    Session III:

"Pork to Policy: The Rise of National Security in Elections in Japan", Amy Catalinac (Australian National University)

Discussants:
Saori Katada (University of Southern California)
Christiana Davis (Princeton University)

 

8/20/2013

8:30-9:15   Breakfast

9:15-10:25 Session I:

"The Politics of Commoditization in Information Communications Technology: Lessons from Japan's 'Galapagos' ICT Sector", Kenji E. Kushida (Stanford University)

Discussants:
Greg Noble (University of Tokyo)
Ulrike Schaede (University of California, San Diego)

10:25-10:50  Break

10:50-12:00  Session II:

"Private Money as Public Funds: Distributive Politics Under Austerity", Kay Shimizu (Columbia University)

Discussants:
Steve Vogel (University of California, Berkeley)
Jonathan Rodden (Stanford University)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:10    Session III:

"Asian Designs: Rising Powers and the Shaping of International Governance", Saadia Pekkanen (University of Washington)

Discussants:
William Grimes (Boston University)
Christina Davis (Princeotn University)

6:30        Group Dinner

 

8/21/2013

8:30-9:15    Breakfast

9:15-10:25  Session I:

"Trading Corporate Assets in Japan: An Event Study of Subsidiary Trades Among Listed Companies", Ulrike Schaede (University of California, San Diego) and Tatsuo Ushijima (Aoyama Gakuin University)

Discussants:
Robert Eberhart (Santa Clara University)
Ayako Yasuda (University of California, Davis)

10:25-10:50  Break

10:50-12:00  Session II:

"School Entry Cutoff Dates and the Timing of Births", Hitoshi Shigeoka (Simon Fraser University)

Discussants:
Karen Eggleston (Stanford University)
Toshiaki Iizuka (University of Tokyo)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:10    Session III:

"New Management at the Bank of Japan, End of the 'Independent' Bank of Japan and Implications for the Cencept of Central Bank Independence", Thomas F. Cargill (University of Nevada) and Jennifer Holt-Dwyer (Hunter College)

Discussants:
Helen Popper (Santa Clara University)
Ken Kuttner, (Williams College)

 

8/22/2013

8:30-9:15    Breakfast

9:15-10:25  Session I:

"Using Dynamic Electricity Pricing to Address Energy Crises: Evidence from Randomized Field Experiements", Koichiro Ito (Stanford University), Takanori Ida (Kyoto University), and Makoto Tanaka (GRIPS)

Discussants:
Masahiko Aoki (Stanford University)
Matthew Kahn (University of California, Los Angeles)

10:25-10:50  Break

10:50-12:00  Session II:

"Choice of Invoicing Currency: New evidence from a questionnaire survey of Japanese export firms", Satoshi Koibuchi (Chuo University), Takatoshi Ito (RIETI), Kiyotaka Sato (Yokohama National University), Junko Shimizu (Gakushuin University)

Discussants:
Katheryn Russ (University of California, Davis)
Mark Spiegel (Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco)

12:00-1:00  Lunch

1:00-2:10    Session III:

"Banks restructuring sonata: How capital injection triggered labor force rejuvenation in Japanese banks", David Vera (California State University, Fresno), Kazuki Onji (Australian National University), Takeshi Osada (Bunri University of Hospitality)

Discussants:
Masami Imai (Wesleyan University)
Kelly Wang (Federal Reserve Board)

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In the 25th anniversary edition of The Journal of Democracy, CDDRL Director Larry Diamond reflects on the current democratic recession and why this trend is so troubling.

Diamond, who serves as the founding co-editor of The Journal of Democracy, argues that the world is in a mild but protracted democratic recession, which raises alarm due to the rate of democratic failures and where they are occurring. In surveying global empirical trends, Diamond cites 25 breakdowns of democracy since 2000 that were not the cause of military coups but rather the slow erosion of democratic rights and procedures.

Another worrisome trend for Diamond is the declining freedom in a number of countries and regions since 2005. This is most notable in Africa where corruption and the abuse of power are leading to the decline of the rule of law and political rights across the region. It is also affecting countries of global strategic importance with large populations and economic influence– from Taiwan to Mexico – and leading to the resurgence of authoritarianism in Russia and China. Diamond also looks to the U.S. where the dysfunction and breakdown of American democracy sets a bad precedent for the rest of the world. 

Diamond concludes on an optimistic note, stressing that strong public support for democracy may reverse many of these troubling trends and help sustain longer-term democratic progress.

img 9597 From left to right: Thomas Carothers, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Alina Mungiu-Pippidi, Hertie School of Governance (Berlin); Marc Plattner, National Endowment for Democracy; Larry Diamond, Stanford University; Steven Levitsky, Harvard University; and Lucan Way, University of Toronto.

 

 

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Larry Diamond speaks to a large audience in Washington, D.C., for the 25th anniversary of the Journal of Democracy. Other speakers at the event included: Thomas Carothers (Carnegie Endowment for International Peace), Alina Mungiu-Pippidi (Hertie School of Governance-Berlin), Marc Plattner (National Endowment for Democracy), Steven Levitsky (Harvard University), and Lucan Way (University of Toronto).
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Over the last two decades global production of soybean and palm oil seeds have increased enormously. Because these tropically rainfed crops are used for food, cooking, animal feed, and biofuels, they have entered the agriculture, food, and energy chains of most nations despite their actual growth being increasingly concentrated in Southeast Asia and South America. The planting of these crops is controversial because they are sown on formerly forested lands, rely on large farmers and agribusiness rather than smallholders for their development, and supply export markets. The contrasts with the famed Green Revolution in rice and wheat of the 1960s through the 1980s are stark, as those irrigated crops were primarily grown by smallholders, depended upon public subsidies for cultivation, and served largely domestic sectors.  

The overall aim of the book is to provide a broad synthesis of the major supply and demand drivers of the rapid expansion of oil crops in the tropics; its economic, social, and environmental impacts; and the future outlook to 2050. After introducing the dramatic surge in oil crops, chapters provide a comparative perspective from different producing regions for two of the world's most important crops, oil palm and soybeans in the tropics. The following chapters examine the drivers of demand of vegetable oils for food, animal feed, and biodiesel and introduce the reader to price formation in vegetable oil markets and the role of trade in linking consumers across the world to distant producers in a handful of exporting countries. The remaining chapters review evidence on the economic, social, and environmental impacts of the oil crop revolution in the tropics. While both economic benefits and social and environmental costs have been huge, the outlook is for reduced trade-offs and more sustainable outcomes as the oil crop revolution slows and the global, national, and local communities converge on ways to better managed land use changes and land rights. 

Food, Feed, Fuel, and Forests
by Derek Byerlee, Walter P. Falcon, and Rosamond L. Naylor
will be published by Oxford University Press on November 10, 2016
$74.00 | 304 Pages | 9780190222987
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Stanford will welcome President Barack Obama to the campus Friday, Feb. 13, where he will address the White House Summit on Cybersecurity and Consumer Protection.  The president will join top-level government officials, corporate CEOs and Stanford faculty members who will gather to discuss pressing issues at the all-day summit organized by the White House.

President Obama is expected to deliver the keynote remarks at the event, which will be held in Memorial Auditorium and in the Cemex Auditorium at the Stanford Graduate School of Business. The invitation-only event will not be open to the public, but Stanford students can register for a lottery to obtain tickets.  Stanford faculty, students and staff members currently researching cyber-related issues have been invited to take part in panels and conversations.

The summit will be Webcast live in its entirety here for those unable to attend in person, and more details will be posted at WhiteHouse.gov/CyberSummit.

 

 

The event will mark the first time that a sitting U.S. President has made public remarks at Stanford since 1975, when then President Gerald Ford dedicated the Crown Quadrangle at the Stanford Law School. President Herbert Hoover addressed students at Stanford in 1932, and President Theodore Roosevelt spoke at Stanford in 1903.  President Bill Clinton was a visitor to campus during his presidency, but in his private capacity as a Stanford parent to daughter Chelsea Clinton.

The campus community can expect further information about parking and transportation changes as a result of the president's visit as event details are finalized.

President Obama announced the full-day White House cyber summit during a Jan. 13 speech and said "It's going to bring everybody together – industry, tech companies, law enforcement, consumer and privacy advocates, law professors who are specialists in the field, as well as students – to make sure that we work through these issues in a public, transparent fashion."

From increasing cybersecurity information sharing to improving adoption of more secure payment technologies, topics listed by the White House that the summit will address:

  • Public-Private Collaboration on Cybersecurity;

  • Improving Cybersecurity Practices at Consumer-Oriented Businesses and Organizations;

  • Promoting More Secure Payment Technologies;

  • Cybersecurity Information Sharing;

  • International Law Enforcement Cooperation on Cybersecurity;

  • Improving Authentication: Moving Beyond the Password.

The White House summit is also the next step in the President's BuySecure Initiative, which was launched in November 2014, and will help advance national efforts the government has led over the last two years with executive orders on consumer financial protection and critical cybersecurity infrastructure.

Stanford announced a major Cyber Initiative in November that will apply broad campus expertise to the diverse challenges cyber-technologies pose for virtually every facet of our personal, governmental and economic lives. Funded with a $15 million grant from the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Stanford Cyber Initiative draws upon Stanford's experience with multi-disciplinary, university-wide initiatives to focus research on the core themes of trustworthiness, governance and the unexpected impacts of technological change.

While the agenda for the White House summit has not yet been finalized, among the Stanford faculty members and researchers invited to participate are Amy Zegart, co-director of the Center for International Security and Cooperation (CISAC) and a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution; Stanford Law Professor George Triantis, who chairs the Cyber Initiative; John Mitchell, vice provost for teaching and learning and professor of computer science; and Herb Lin, senior research scholar for cyber policy and security at CISAC and a Hoover research fellow. Stanford President John Hennessy is slated to open the summit and will have the honor of introducing President Obama.

Stanford is preparing for a significant media attendance for the event, and coverage is expected by major television networks and more than 200 journalists from around the world. 

Students interested in registering for the student ticket lottery can consult the Stanford Ticket Office website for further information Monday.  Registration will close Tuesday at 11:59 p.m.

We will be updating this social media story about the summit:

 

 
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Sarah Mendelson, senior adviser and director of the Human Rights Initiative at the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) spoke about how human rights scholars and practitioners can push back on closing space around civil society for the Stanford Program on Human Rights’ Winter Speaker Series U.S Human Rights NGOs and International Human Rights on January 21, 2015.

Mendelson, having previously worked as an activist, academic, and government official, addressed the Stanford audience from multiple perspectives about the relationship between U.S governmental agencies and domestic and international NGOs. She emphasized the lack of alignment in the research emerging from academics and policymakers, stressing the need to close the gap between universities and government. Mendelson proposes that public opinion survey instruments be deployed to test the efficacy of NGO work in the field, and that universities, governments and NGOs collaborate in developing these instruments.

There was a great deal of overlap in the issues that Mendelson addressed and those addressed by Douglas Rutzen on January 7, 2015. Both described the alarming movement of governments to close space around civil society, stating that the trend has now extended far beyond Russia to become a global phenomenon. Mendelson probed the audience with challenging reflections on the potential negative consequences of the Silicon Valley open agenda approach towards data transparency, demonstrating how governments view the increased connectivity as a threat to their sovereignty. Therefore, there is a link between the need for transparent, accountable governments on one hand, and closing of civic space on the other, a paradox that is activating dangerous tensions between governments and their citizenry.

Helen Stacy, director of the Program on Human Rights, followed Mendelson’s talk with questions on the legitimacy of NGOs; the extent to which NGOs are held accountable for their work; and the moral soundness of public opinion. Mendelson responded and concluded with the ultimate need for more powerful data to provide legitimacy for NGOs and for policy to be driven by evidence. Questions from the audience included how ethics tie into international development work, the proper toolset for doing due diligence on an NGO as a potential place of work, and the connection between innovation and humanitarianism.

Dana Phelps, Program Associate, Program on Human Rights

 

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The United States has thrust itself and the world into the era of cyber warfare, Kim Zetter, an award-winning cybersecurity journalist for WIRED magazine, told a Stanford audience. Zetter discussed her book “Countdown to Zero Day,” which details the discovery and unraveling of Stuxnet, the world’s first cyber weapon. 

Stuxnet was the name given to a highly complex digital malware that targeted, and physically damaged, Iran’s clandestine nuclear program from 2007 until its cover was blown in 2010 by computer security researchers. The malware targeted the computer systems controlling physical infrastructure such as centrifuges and gas valves.

Reports following its discovery attributed the creation and deployment of Stuxnet to the United States and Israel. The New York Times quoted anonymous U.S. officials claiming responsibility for Stuxnet. 

Zetter began reporting on the cyber weapon in 2010.

“When the first news came out, I didn’t think much of it,” Zetter told a CISAC seminar on Monday. The title of her book refers to a “zero-day attack," which exploits a previously unknown vulnerability in a computer application or operating system.

“Watching the Symantec researchers unravel Stuxnet, I knew what fascinated me was the process and brilliance of the researchers. The detective story is what pulled me in.” 

Zetter’s book follows computer security researchers from around the world as they discover and disassemble Stuxnet over the course of months, much longer than any time spent on typical malware. The realization that Stuxnet was the world’s first cyber weapon sent shock waves throughout the tech community, yet did not create as much of a stir in mainstream society. 

“It’s funny because a lot of people still don’t know Stuxnet or haven’t even heard of it,” Zetter said. “The recent vandalization of Sony seems to have finally gotten people’s attention. It was not a case of true cyber warefare, but I'm glad that my book came out right before it happened because its perception as a nation-state attack has led to interest in all nation-state attacks, including Stuxnet. The Snowden leaks also put cyber warfare on the map.” 

 

“Countdown to Zero” also places Stuxnet in political context. The first version of Stuxnet was built and unleashed by the Bush administration in 2007, according to Zetter. Iran accelerated its enrichment process in 2008, leading to fears it would have enough uranium to build a bomb by 2010. President Barack Obama inherited the program; he not only continued it,but accelerated it. Another, more aggressive version of Stuxnet was unleashed in June 2009 and again in 2010. Obama gave the order to unleash Stuxnet while publicly demanding Iran to open itself up to negotiations. 

The effectiveness of the world’s first cyber weapon remains a subject of debate. The most optimistic assessment of Stuxnet is that it delayed and slowed Iran’s uranium development enough to dissuade Israel from unilaterally striking the country, and it afforded time for intelligence and diplomatic efforts. Stuxnet contributed to dissension and frustration among the upper ranks of Iran’s government (the head of Iran’s nuclear program was replaced) and bought time for harsh economic sanctions to impact the Iranian public.

“Stuxnet actually had very little effect on Iran’s nuclear program,” said Zetter. “It was premature, it could have had a much bigger effect had the attackers waited.” Iran still made a net gain in their uranium stockpile while being attacked and they are updating their centrifuges, which would make Stuxnet obsolete.

The more unsettling parts of Zetter’s book catalog security vulnerabilities in America’s public infrastructure, which could easily be victim to a Stuxnet-style attack, and consider the implications of the era Stuxnet heralded. For example, in 2001 hackers attacked California ISO, a nonprofit corporation that manages the transmission system for moving electricity throughout most of California. More recently, Zetter writes, in 2011 a security research team “penetrated the remote-access system for a Southern California water plant and was able to take control of equipment the facility used for adding chemicals to drinking water.”

The Obama administration has publicly announced that shoring up infrastructure security is a top priority. Zetter finds this ironic, because unleashing Stuxnet has opened the U.S. up to attacks using the same malware.

“When you launch a cyber weapon, you don’t just send the weapon to your enemies, you send the intellectual property that created it and the ability to launch the weapon back against you,” writes Zetter. “Marcus Ranum, one of the early innovators of the computer firewall, called Stuxnet ‘a stone thrown by people who live in a glass house.’”

More broadly, Stuxnet heralded an era of cyber warfare that could prove to be more destructive than the nuclear era. For Zetter there is also irony to the use of cyber weapons to combat nuclear weapons. She quotes Kennette Benedict, the executive director of the “Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists,” pointing out, “that the first acknowledged military use of cyber warfare is ostensibly to prevent the spread of nuclear weapons. A new age of mass destruction will begin in an effort to close a chapter from the first age of mass destruction.” 

Zetter has similar fears.

“The U.S. lost the moral high ground from where it could tell other countries to not use digital weapons to resolve disputes,” Zetter said. “No one has been killed by a cyber attack, but I think it’s only a matter of time.”

Joshua Alvarez was a 2012 CISAC Honors Student. 

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Abstract

The overflow of information generated during disasters can be as paralyzing to humanitarian response as the lack of information. Making sense of this flash flood of information, "Big Data", is proving an impossible challenge for traditional humanitarian organizations; so they’re turning to Digital Humanitarians: tech-savvy volunteers who craft and leverage ingenious crowdsourcing solutions with trail-blazing insights from artificial intelligence. Digital Humanitarians take online collective action to the next level—particularly when spearheading relief efforts in countries ruled by dictatorships. This talk charts the rise of Digital Humanitarians and concludes with their collective action in repressive contexts.

 

Speaker Bio

Patrick Meier is the author of the book " Digital Humnitarians: How Big Data is Changing the Face of Humanitarian Response." He directs QCRI's Social Innovation Program where he & his team use human and machine computing to develop "Next Generation Humanitarian Technologies" in partnership with international humanitarian organizations. Patrick was previously with Ushahidi and the Harvard Humanitarian Initiative. He has a PhD from The Fletcher School, Pre-Doc from Stanford and an MA from Columbia. His influential blog iRevolutions has received over 1.5 million hits. Patrick tweets at @patrickmeier.

**** NOTE LOCATION****

School of Education

Room 128

Patrick Meier Director of Social Innovation at QCRI
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