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North Korea's revelation last year that it has constructed a full-scale, modern uranium enrichment facility has fundamentally changed the diplomatic situation regarding its nuclear weapons program, suggested David Straub, associate director of the Stanford Korean Studies Program, in a Radio Free Asia interview on February 8. According to Straub, North Korea has made negotiating an end to its nuclear weapons program practically unachievable. After years of denying even any interest in uranium enrichment, North Korea has lost what little credibility its statements had. Furthermore, argued Straub, by secretly building the facility in Yongbyon -- the one location that outsiders watch most closely -- North Korea itself has proven there is no way that outsiders could verify a nuclear agreement.
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Ambassador Sook Kim (center), head of South Korea’s delegation to the Six-Party Talks met in Vienna in November 2008 with former International Atomic Energy Agency director general Dr. Mohamed ElBaradei to discuss non-proliferation issues relating to North Korea.
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Donald K. Emmerson
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In light of the recent ousting of the presidents of Egypt and Tunisia, Donald K. Emmerson, director of the Southeast Asia Forum, steps back from the continually evolving regional turbulence to consider what it may say about the future. In a February 22 Asia Times op-ed, while noting that each country's situation is unique, Emmerson argues that social networking as an aspect of globalization could trigger further transnational spread effects in years to come. Nevertheless, he warns, authoritarians will try to adapt the technology to their own purposes. Finally, noting the basically secular character of the demonstrations, he argues that the power and promise of political Islam should not be overdrawn.
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A young demonstrator in Egypt displays the now-popular "game over" slogan.
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Shorenstein APARC
Stanford University
Encina Hall C332
Stanford, CA 94305-6055

(650) 724-6710 (650) 723-6530
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2011 Visiting Scholar
picture.jpg MA, PhD

Dr. Xiaowen Zhang is a visiting scholar from the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC), China. During his stay, he will conduct a comparative study on enterprises restructuring funds between China and the United States.

Dr. Zhang is currently the director of the Department of Enterprise, in the Institute of Economic System and Management at  NDRC, People's Republic of China. He is in charge of completing various studies involving national economic reforming for China. Dr. Zhang's main fields of interests include the reforming of national-owned enterprises, and relative policy studies in China. He latest research involves projects on the strategic adjusting and restructuring of China's economic industrial structure.

Dr. Zhang received a Ph.D in Management from Haerbin Industry University. He is a graduate of Education Management Science and Engineering from Beijing College of Machine Industry and Management. He holds a B.S. in Metal Material  from Jilin Industry University.

 

Recent Publications:

Dr. Zhang has published more than 80 papers on various major economic and management academic journals in China. Three recent academic works are as follows:

Xiaowen Zhang, Haichao Li, Jianmei Wang, System innovating and Competitiveness, Enterprise Management Publishing Company,March,2010, first Edition.

Qingrui Xu, Zhong Chen, Jin Chen,Xiaoqing Zhao, Xiaowen Zhang, the basic law and pattern of operation and management of china national -owned Enterprises, Publishing Company of Zhejiang University, May,2001, first Edition.

Shuren Liu, Jiuda Zhang, Xiaowen Zhang, The quantitative evaluating of vitality for china enterprises, Publishing Company of China International Broadcasting, 1995, first Edition.

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Scott Rozelle
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OMAHA (DTN) -- China is the world's No. 1 producer and consumer of pork and poultry, producing more than five times the pork raised in the U.S. and 80 percent as much poultry. With its economic growth and increasing middle class, it is inevitable that meat consumption will rise.

The question is: Will China be able to continue to boost production sufficiently to meet that demand? The answer has implications for U.S. grain and meat producers.

"Rapidly rising incomes will have wrenching effects on the demand for food," said Scott Rozelle, agricultural economist at Stanford University. "As increasingly well-off consumers get fewer of their calories from rice and wheat, they will demand more from high-value products such as meat, fish, dairy and fruit. Urbanization has similar impacts, dampening the demand for rice and wheat and raising the demand for meat, fish, dairy and fruit. Trying to meet these rising -- and shifting -- demands will pose a large challenge."

Most importantly, given the great constraints China faces in arable land and water, the government has chosen to focus its agriculture in two ways: staple food crops such as rice and oilseeds and value-added products, said Francis Tuan, with USDA's Foreign Agriculture Service. It is aiming for a high percentage of self-sufficiency in staples to ensure its population doesn't go hungry. On the other hand, it wants to garner as much economic growth from agricultural production as possible.

"China is exporting more labor-intensive fruits and vegetables and higher-value commodities, while it is importing more land-intensive agricultural commodities, such as soybeans, cotton, sugar and dairy," Rozelle added. "These shifts are obviously more in line with China's comparative advantage."

One example of that trend is China's purchases of raw soybeans to be crushed in China for oil. Another is some farmers leaving crop production to focus on livestock.

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This EWG talk will highlight PESD's first analysis using our new coal model by demonstrating how it can be used to analyze the effects of China's import behavior on world thermal coal consumption. We will explore China's capability as a consumer to exercise market power in the domestic Chinese markets, and to what extent this behavior affects the price, consumption, and production of steam coal globally. Two scenarios will be presented: 1) we assume Chinese consumers with import capability behave competitively and 2) we assume they exercise market power.

The use of coal as a fuel has increased tremendously over the past decade, with most of the growth coming from rapidly expanding economies like those in China and India. As coal continues to be the fuel of choice for electricity generation around the world, PESD is excited to be developing a model to further understand the global steam coal market.  In the future, we anticipate the model will help answer questions regarding climate and trade policies, market structure, and technology improvements.

Michael Joined PESD in July of 2010 as a research assistant after graduating from Stanford University with a BA in Economics.

Encina Hall
Stanford University

616 Serra St.
Encina Hall East
Stanford, CA 94305

(650) 721-1456 (650) 724-1717
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Research Assistant
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Michael joined PESD in July of 2010 after graduating from Stanford with a BA in Economics. He works with the Program Director, Frank A. Wolak, as a Quantitative Research Assistant. At Stanford he discovered his interest in Economics as a tool for encouraging more responsible use of energy and resources. He looks forward to working at PESD where he will continue to explore these interests.

His research interests include studying the effects of price-based climate policies, and to what extent they accelerate the production and adoption of low-carbon energy technologies.

Michael Miller Speaker
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