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Many CISAC projects involve decision makers who have to respond to a threat quickly in spite of uncertain evidence that it is really there. Surprise attack, the stability of nuclear arsenals, monitoring an arms agreement, intervening against genocide, distinguishing epidemics from bioterrorism, and intercepting a dangerous asteroid -- these all require detecting a threat quickly but avoiding a false alarm. Most of our work has involved assembling and judging the evidence of the threat, but further issues arise around the next step: what to do given the evidence. These problems become more subtle when the decision is a "strategic" one, i.e., made against an adversary who knows you are watching. The talk will illustrate the use of game theory to come to some counterintuitive conclusions.

Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd floor

Barry O'Neill Visiting Fellow Speaker CISAC
Seminars
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd Floor

Seymour E. Goodman Professor of Interational Affairs and Computing Speaker Georgia Institute of Technology
Seminars
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Paper available in IIS library, 5th floor, Encina Hall East.

Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd Floor

Stacie Goddard National Security Fellow Speaker John M. Olin Institute for Strategic Studies, Harvard University
Seminars
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Paper available, IIS library, 5th floor, Encina Hall East.

Reuben W. Hills Conference Room

Not in residence

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Affiliate
rsd15_078_0365a.jpg PhD

Lynn Eden is a Senior Research Scholar Emeritus. She was a Senior Research Scholar at Stanford University's Center for International Security and Cooperation until January 2016, as well as was Associate Director for Research. Eden received her Ph.D. in sociology from the University of Michigan, held several pre- and post-doctoral fellowships, and taught in the history department at Carnegie Mellon before coming to Stanford.

In the area of international security, Eden has focused on U.S. foreign and military policy, arms control, the social construction of science and technology, and organizational issues regarding nuclear policy and homeland security. She co-edited, with Steven E. Miller, Nuclear Arguments: Understanding the Strategic Nuclear Arms and Arms Control Debates (Ithaca, N.Y.: Cornell University Press, 1989). She was an editor of The Oxford Companion to American Military History (New York: Oxford University Press, 2000), which takes a social and cultural perspective on war and peace in U.S. history. That volume was chosen as a Main Selection of the History Book Club.

Eden's book Whole World on Fire: Organizations, Knowledge, and Nuclear Weapons Devastation (Ithaca: Cornell University Press, 2004; New Delhi: Manas Publications, 2004) explores how and why the U.S. government--from World War II to the present--has greatly underestimated the damage caused by nuclear weapons by failing to predict damage from firestorms. It shows how well-funded and highly professional organizations, by focusing on what they do well and systematically excluding what they don't, may build a poor representation of the world--a self-reinforcing fallacy that can have serious consequences, from the sinking of the Titanic to not predicting the vulnerability of the World Trade Center to burning jet fuel. Whole World on Fire won the American Sociological Association's 2004 Robert K. Merton Award for best book in science, knowledge, and technology.

Eden has also written on life in small-town America. Her first book, Crisis in Watertown (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1972), was her college senior thesis; it was a finalist for a National Book Award in 1973. Her second book, Witness in Philadelphia, with Florence Mars (Baton Rouge: Louisiana State University Press, 1977), about the murders of civil rights workers Schwerner, Chaney, and Goodman in the summer of 1964, was a Book of the Month Club Alternate Selection.

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Lynn Eden Senior Research Scholar Speaker CISAC
Seminars
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd Floor

Avigdor Haselkorn
Seminars
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Related reading available in IIS library, 5th floor, Encina Hall East.

Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd Floor

Department of Political Science
Stanford University
Encina Hall, W423
Stanford, CA 94305-6044

(650) 725-9556 (650) 723-1808
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James T. Watkins IV and Elise V. Watkins Professor of Political Science
laitin.jpg PhD

David Laitin is the James T. Watkins IV and Elise V. Watkins Professor of Political Science and a co-director of the Immigration Policy Lab at Stanford. He has conducted field research in Somalia, Nigeria, Spain, Estonia and France. His principal research interest is on how culture – specifically, language and religion – guides political behavior. He is the author of “Why Muslim Integration Fails in Christian-heritage Societies” and a series of articles on immigrant integration, civil war and terrorism. Laitin received his BA from Swarthmore College and his PhD from the University of California, Berkeley.

Affiliated faculty at the Center for International Security and Cooperation
Affiliated faculty at The Europe Center
David Laitin Professor Stanford University
James Fearon Professor of Political Science Stanford University
Seminars
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Selections from Abernethy's The Dynamics of Global Dominance available in IIS library, 5th floor, Encina Hall East.

Reuben W. Hills Conference Room, Encina Hall East, 2nd Floor

David Abernethy Professor of Political Science Speaker Stanford University
Seminars
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