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In Indonesia on the day of this talk, for the first time ever in that country, a directly elected president will be inaugurated to replace his also directly elected predecessor.  In the Philippines, in contrast, voters will go to the polls to elect their president on 9 May 2016 for the sixteenth time since 1935.  But this comparison is far too narrow to sustain a comparison of democracy’s present quality and future durability in these two countries.  Age could be a mere chronological achievement; a mature democracy could be moribund; and some argue that in both nations, overriding their different histories, crony capitalism continues to debilitate ostensibly accountable rule.  In his own assessment of democracy’s roots, results, and prospects in Indonesia and the Philippines, Prof. Mendoza will address, inter alia, these questions:  Which country is more democratic procedurally?  Which country is more democratic substantively, in terms of governance and performance?  And which country is more likely to remain democratic in times to come?  His answer to each of these questions will also call for explanation:  Why?  

Amado M. Mendoza, Jr. is a prominent political economy and policy scholar in the Philippines.  He was the lead investigator on the Philippines for the Global Integrity Report 2010.  More recent activities have included directing a course on the political dimensions of national security at the National Defense College of the Philippines and writing an on-line column at Interaksyon.com analyzing Southeast Asian issues and developments.  A piece in Iteraksyon on 6 October 2014, for example, highlighted tax compliance as a key requisite for improved governance in the Philippines.  As an unwilling alumnus of the detention centers of the Philippine dictator Ferdinand Marcos in the 1970s, Prof. Mendoza has a personal interest in democracy as well.

Philippines Conference Room

Encina Hall Central, 3rd Floor.

Stanford, CA 94301

Amado M. Mendoza, Jr. Professor of Political Science and International Studies University of the Philippines, Diliman, Quezon City
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Following the end of World War II, Japan achieved remarkable economic growth, rising to be on par with the levels of the United States and Europe. With particular strength in manufacturing, Japan attracted much attention from around the world for its technological capabilities and ability to produce high quality products. Can Japan restore its glories such as those that garnered global attention in the 1980s? In 2006, Bill Emmott, a former editor of The Economist, published "Hi wa Mata Noboru (The Sun Also Rises)", which predicts that someday Japan will restore its competitiveness by increasing productivity through economic structural reforms.

However, so far, we do not see the clear picture of The Sun’s rising again. This talk is based on Motohashi’s new book, “Hi ha Mata Takaku (The Sun Rises Again)” from Nikkei, for explaining the way Japan should proceed to regain its industrial competitiveness. He has analyzed the shift of sources of industrial competitiveness, taking into account science revolutions (IT, life science etc.) and growing presence of emerging economies such as China and India, and explained new model of innovation lead growth by the concept of “science based economy”. His talk also touches on the subject of differences of economic institutions among nations, and proposes new model of Japanese innovation system in 21st century with the importance of labor market liberalization to proceed structural reforms to adjust new environment. Please refer to the following link for more detail description of the book. http://www.rieti.go.jp/en/columns/a01_0391.html

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motohashi
Kazuyuki Motohashi joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) during the period of September 2014 to March 2015 as Sasakawa Peace Fellow, from the University of Tokyo where he serves as a professor at the Department of Technology Management for Innovation, Graduate School of Engineering. Until this year, he had taken various positions at the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of the Japanese Government, economist at OECD and associate professor at Hitotsubashi University.

His research interest covers a broad range of issues in economic and statistical analysis of innovation, including economic impacts of information technology, international comparison of productivity, national innovation system focusing on science and industry linkages and SME innovation and entrepreneurship policy. He has published several papers and books on above issues, including Productivity in Asia: Economic Growth and Competitiveness (2007). At Shorenstein APARC, he conducts research project, “New Channles: Reinventing US-Japan Relationship”, particularly focusing on innovation in silicon valley and its linkage with Japanese innovation system.

Mr. Motohashi was awarded Master of Engineering from University of Tokyo, MBA from Cornell University and Ph.D. in business and commerce from Keio University.

Slides_The Sun Rises Again? Regaining INdustrial Competitiveness of Japan in Science Based Economy Era
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Philippines Conference Room

Encina Hall
616 Serra St., 3rd floor
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305

 

Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research CenterEncina Hall E301616 Serra StreetStanford, CA 94305-6055
(650) 723-1434 (650) 723-6530
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kazuyuki_motohashi.jpg Ph.D.

Kazuyuki Motohashi joins the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center (Shorenstein APARC) during the period of September 2014 to March 2015 as this year's Sasakawa Peace Fellow, from the the University of Tokyo, where he serves as a professor at the Department of Technology Management for Innovation, Graduate School of Engineering. Until this year, he had taken various positions at the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry of the Japanese Government, economist at OECD, and associate professor at Hitotsubashi University.

His research interest covers a broad range of issues in economic and statistical analysis of innovation, including economic impacts of information technology, international comparison of productivity, national innovation systems focusing on science and industry linkages, and SME innovation and entrepreneurship policy. He has published several papers and books on the above issues, including Productivity in Asia: Economic Growth and Competitiveness (2007). At Shorenstein APARC, he is conducting the research project, “New Channles: Reinventing US-Japan Relationship”, particularly focusing on innovation in Silicon Valley and its linkage with the Japanese innovation system.

Mr. Motohashi was awarded his Master of Engineering degree from the University of Tokyo, MBA from Cornell University, and Ph.D. in business and commerce from Keio University.

Sasakawa Peace Fellow, 2014-2015
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

 

Abstract:

Recent Medicare legislation has been directed at improving patient care quality and cutting costs by stopping reimbursement of healthcare-associated conditions (HACs). However, recent evidence suggests that the policy has not been effective in reducing HACs. We study national trends of two particular HACs, central line-associated bloodstream infections (CLABSIs) and catheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTIs). We find sharp differences in HAC reporting rates for hospitals in states that had strong regulations on adverse event reporting prior to the Medicare legislation. In particular, our results suggest that hospitals in states without prior regulations may be engaging in "upcoding", a practice where hospitals report HACs as being present-on-admission, resulting in greater reimbursement. Our findings have important implications for future legislation: we hypothesize that the upcoming HAC Reduction Program starting in 2015 may also not be effective at reducing HACs, and may unfairly punish more truthful hospitals if proper incentives for discouraging upcoding are not implemented.

Based on joint work with Hamsa Bastani, Joel Goh, and Stefanos Zenios

 

CHP/PCOR Conference Room
117 Encina Commons, Room 119
Stanford, CA 94305

Mohsen Bayati Assistant Professor of Operations, Information and Technology in the Graduate School of Business and, by courtesy, of Electrical Engineering Speaker
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

Abstract:

Current guidelines for economic evaluations of health interventions (cost-effectiveness or cost-benefit analyses) define relevant outcomes as those accruing to individuals receiving interventions. Little consensus exists on how to count health impacts of interventions that affect current and future fertility and childbearing. We sought to characterize current practices for counting such health outcomes. To do so, we developed a framework characterizing health interventions with direct and/or indirect effects on fertility and childbearing. We identified interventions that span the framework and performed a targeted literature review for economic evaluations of these interventions. For each article, we characterized how the potential health outcomes from each intervention were considered, focusing on QALYs associated with fertility and childbearing. This review of 108 economic evaluations led to striking insights about choices analysts make in the absence of clear guidance about how to include such QALYs. We will discuss these insights and their implications as well as the rationales on which they are based. In brief, economic evaluations inconsistently consider QALYs from current pregnancies and future fertility in ways that frequently appear biased. Given this, we believe that further guidance should be given by bodies like the Panel on Cost-Effectiveness in Health and Medicine to help to standardize practice and reporting in this important area.

CHP/PCOR Conference Room
117 Encina Commons, Room 119
Stanford, CA 94305

Encina Commons, Room 220
615 Crothers Way
Stanford, CA 94305-6006

(650) 721-2486 (650) 723-1919
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Professor, Health Policy
jeremy-fisch_profile_compressed.jpg PhD

Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert, PhD, is a Professor of Health Policy, a Core Faculty Member at the Center for Health Policy and the Department of Health Policy, and a Faculty Affiliate of the Stanford Center on Longevity and Stanford Center for International Development. His research focuses on complex policy decisions surrounding the prevention and management of increasingly common, chronic diseases and the life course impact of exposure to their risk factors. In the context of both developing and developed countries including the US, India, China, and South Africa, he has examined chronic conditions including type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular diseases, human papillomavirus and cervical cancer, tuberculosis, and hepatitis C and on risk factors including smoking, physical activity, obesity, malnutrition, and other diseases themselves. He combines simulation modeling methods and cost-effectiveness analyses with econometric approaches and behavioral economic studies to address these issues. Dr. Goldhaber-Fiebert graduated magna cum laude from Harvard College in 1997, with an A.B. in the History and Literature of America. After working as a software engineer and consultant, he conducted a year-long public health research program in Costa Rica with his wife in 2001. Winner of the Lee B. Lusted Prize for Outstanding Student Research from the Society for Medical Decision Making in 2006 and in 2008, he completed his PhD in Health Policy concentrating in Decision Science at Harvard University in 2008. He was elected as a Trustee of the Society for Medical Decision Making in 2011.

Past and current research topics:

  1. Type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular risk factors: Randomized and observational studies in Costa Rica examining the impact of community-based lifestyle interventions and the relationship of gender, risk factors, and care utilization.
  2. Cervical cancer: Model-based cost-effectiveness analyses and costing methods studies that examine policy issues relating to cervical cancer screening and human papillomavirus vaccination in countries including the United States, Brazil, India, Kenya, Peru, South Africa, Tanzania, and Thailand.
  3. Measles, haemophilus influenzae type b, and other childhood infectious diseases: Longitudinal regression analyses of country-level data from middle and upper income countries that examine the link between vaccination, sustained reductions in mortality, and evidence of herd immunity.
  4. Patient adherence: Studies in both developing and developed countries of the costs and effectiveness of measures to increase successful adherence. Adherence to cervical cancer screening as well as to disease management programs targeting depression and obesity is examined from both a decision-analytic and a behavioral economics perspective.
  5. Simulation modeling methods: Research examining model calibration and validation, the appropriate representation of uncertainty in projected outcomes, the use of models to examine plausible counterfactuals at the biological and epidemiological level, and the reflection of population and spatial heterogeneity.
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Date Label
Speaker
Speaker
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

Abstract:

One of the important benefits of an electronic medical record is the potential to provide targeted decision support and reminders for care. In addition to improving care these reminders serve a secondary purpose of documenting care that is now required for public reporting or pay for performance programs. Thus, there is pressure to add an ever increasing number of reminders with unclear consequences. I will review past studies using computerised reminders and present several randomized trials conducted or planned at the Palo Alto VA and Stanford hospitals. The goals of these reminders include increasing life-prolonging heart failure medications and device use, reducing inappropriate cardiac imaging, and rapid treatment for sepsis. Clinical reminders can be considered quality improvement and I will discuss the potential for conducting methodologically rigorous randomized reminder trials that are not "research".

CHP/PCOR Conference Room
117 Encina Commons, Room 119
Stanford, CA 94305

Speaker
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

"Who Enrolls in Medicare Advantage? Evidence from the Health and Retirement Study"

CHP/PCOR Conference Room
117 Encina Commons, Room 119
Stanford, CA 94305

Kate Bundorf Speaker
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

CHP/PCOR Conference Room

Encina Commons Room 210,
615 Crothers Way,
Stanford, CA 94305-6006

(650) 723-1919
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Professor, Pediatrics
Professor, Health Policy
Professor, Epidemiology & Population Health (by courtesy)
sanders_photo_20153.jpg MD, MPH

Dr. Lee Sanders is a general pediatrician and Professor of Pediatrics at the Stanford University School of Medicine, where he is Chief of the Division of General Pediatrics. He holds a joint appointment in the Center for Health Policy in the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, where he is a co-director of the Center for Policy, Outcomes and Prevention (CPOP).

An author of numerous peer-reviewed articles addressing child health disparities, Dr. Sanders is a nationally recognized scholar in the fields of health literacy and child chronic-illness care.  Dr. Sanders was named a Robert Wood Johnson Foundation Generalist Physician Faculty Scholar for his leadership on the role of maternal health literacy and English-language proficiency in addressing child health disparities.  Aiming to make the US health system more navigable for the one in 4 families with limited health literacy, he has served as an advisor to the Institute of Medicine, the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the Food and Drug Administration, the American Academy of Pediatrics, the Academic Pediatric Association, and the American Cancer Society.  Dr. Sanders leads a multi-disciplinary CPOP research team that provides analytic guidance to national and state policies affecting children with complex chronic illness – with a focus on the special health-system requirements that arise from the unique epidemiology, care-use patterns, and health-care costs for this population.  He leads another CPOP/PCOR-based research team that applies family-centered approaches to new technologies that aim to improve care coordination for children with medical complexity.    Dr. Sanders is also principal investigator on two NIH-funded studies that address health literacy in the pediatric context: one aims to assess the efficacy of a low-literacy, early-childhood intervention designed to prevent early childhood obesity; the other aims to provide the FDA with guidance on improved labeling of pediatric liquid medication.  Research settings for this work include state and regional health departments, primary-care and subspecialty-care clinics, community-health centers, WIC offices, federally subsidized child-care centers, and family advocacy centers.

Dr. Sanders received a BA in History and Science from Harvard University, an MD from Stanford University, and a MPH from the University of California, Berkeley.  Between 2006 and 2011, Dr. Sanders served as Medical Director of Children’s Medical Services South Florida, a Florida state agency that coordinates care for more than 10,000 low-income children with special health care needs.  He was also Medical Director for Reach Out and Read Florida, a pediatric-clinic-based program that provides books and early-literacy promotion to more than 200,000 underserved children.  At the University of Miami, Dr. Sanders directed the Jay Weiss Center for Social Medicine and Health Equity, which fosters a scholarly community committed to addressing global health inequities through community-based participatory research.  At Stanford University, Dr. Sanders served as co-medical director of the Family Advocacy Program, which provides free legal assistance to help address social determinants of child health.

Fluent in Spanish, Dr. Sanders is co-director of the Complex Primary Care Clinic at Stanford Children’s Health, which provides multi-disciplinary team care for children with complex chronic conditions.  Dr. Sanders is also the father of two daughters, aged 11 and 14 years, who make sure he practices talking less and listening more.

Co-Director, Center for Policy, Outcomes & Prevention (CPOP)
Chief, Division of General Pediatrics, School of Medicine
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Date Label
Lee Sanders Speaker

VA Palo Alto Health Care System Medical Service (111) 3801 Miranda Avenue Palo Alto, CA 94304;

Encina Commons, 615 Crothers Way Room 210, Stanford, CA 94305-6006

(650) 493-5000,,1,,1,62105
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Professor, Health Policy
Professor, Medicine (by courtesy)
mary_goldstein_profile.jpg MD, MS

 

Mary K. Goldstein is a Professor of Health Policy and a core faculty member at the Department of Health Policy and the Center for Health Policy, and the Director of the Geriatrics Research Education and Clinical Center (GRECC) at the VA Palo Alto Health Care System. She directs the Primary Care Policy and Practice Advancement program at PCOR, the Stanford/VA Palo Alto Geriatric Medicine Fellowship Program, and the Special Fellowship Program in Advanced Geriatrics at VA Palo Alto. She also serves as associate director for the Physician Post-Residency Fellowship Program in Health Services Research and Development, and for the Postdoctoral Fellowship in Medical Informatics, both at VA Palo Alto Health Care System.

Goldstein studies innovative methods of implementing evidence-based clinical practice guidelines for quality improvement. She leads the ATHENA Decision Support System project that has developed and implemented an automated clinical decision support system for primary care clinicians, using hypertension as a model, and now extended into several other clinical domains.  Goldstein's research also explores older adults' health preferences (health utility) for application to cost-effectiveness analysis.

Goldstein is a fellow of the American Geriatrics Society, and an emerita of the Society's board of directors. Goldstein has received a number of honors and awards including an Advanced Career Development award from the Department of Veterans Affairs Health Services Research and Development (HSR&D) program.  She received a BA in philosophy and an MD, both from Columbia University, and completed her residency in family medicine at Duke University Medical Center. At the Stanford School of Medicine she completed an AHRQ-funded fellowship and an MS in health services research.

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Mary Goldstein Speaker
Seminars
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Massimiliano Onorato will present new evidence  about the relationship between military conflict and city population growth in Europe from the fall of Charlemagne's empire to the start of the Industrial Revolution. Military conflict was a main feature of European history. He and his co-author Mark Dincecco (University of Michigan) argue that cities were safe harbors from conflict threats.  To test this argument, they constructed a novel database that geocodes the locations of 1,091 conflicts and 676 cities between 800 and 1799.  They found a significant, positive, and robust relationship that runs from conflict exposure to city population growth.  Their analysis suggests that military conflict played a key role in the rise of urban Europe.

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Massimiliano G. Onorato

 

Massimiliano G. Onorato is an Assistant Professor in Economics and Institutional Change at IMT Lucca, Italy. He was awarded a Ph.D. in Economics in 2010 at Bocconi University in Milan. Prior to his appointment at IMT Lucca, he was a Post Doctoral Associate at the Leitner Program in International and Comparative Political Economy at Yale University. His research interests include Political Economy, Comparative Politics and Economic History.

 

Co-sponsored by Comparative Politics.

Military Conflict and the Rise of Urban Europe
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Massimiliano Onorato Assistant Professor of Economics and Institutional Change Speaker Institute for Advanced Studies, Lucca
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Voters often punish incumbent parties for poor economic performance; whether they treat left and right governments differently is less clear.  The literature hosts multiple disconnected and often contradictory theories of partisan accountability. We leverage both observational and survey experiment data to establish an empirical regularity: voters, on average, punish left-of-center incumbents more severely for economic downturns than their counterparts on the right.  A luxury-goods model of voting best explains this regularity.  When times get tough, voters prioritize social spending for basic economic security over spending on socially desirable but less necessary "luxury goods" policies (e.g., environmental protection).  Parties associated with luxury goods policies, mostly left parties, are shunned in downturns.  Thus, many incumbent parties of the left face double jeopardy:  voters punish all incumbents for a weak economy; they punish many left incumbents additionally for their policies.

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kayser 01
Mark Kayser teaches applied quantitative methods and comparative politics at the Hertie School of Governance in Berlin. His research primarily focuses on elections and political economy.  Current major projects focus on cross-national comparisons in the formation of economic perceptions and voting decisions, media reporting of the economy, and the effect of electoral competitiveness on incumbent behavior. Before coming to the Hertie School of Governance, he served as an Assistant Professor of Political Science at the University of Rochester and as a postdoctoral Prize Research Fellow at Nuffield College, Oxford. He is the co-author of a book on the effect of electoral systems on regulation and price levels (Cambridge University Press, 2011) and the author or co-author of articles in the American Political Science Review, American Journal of Political Science, British Journal of Political Science and other leading journals.

Mark Kayser Professor of Applied Methods & Comparative Politics Speaker Hertie School of Governance, Berlin
Seminars
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THE INTERNATIONAL EDUCATION INITIATIVE (IEI) Presents:

Karthik Muralidharan, Associate Professor of Economics at UCSD

“The Aggregate Effect of School Choice: Evidence from a two-stage experiment in India”

WHEN: Tuesday, October 21, 2014, 3:30 PM – 5:00 PM

WHERE: Encina Hall (2nd floor), Central Conference Room

Refreshments will be served.

Open to the public

About the Speaker: Karthik Muralidharan is an associate professor of economics at the University of California, San Diego where he joined the faculty as an assistant professor in 2008. Born and raised in India, he is a Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), an Affiliate at the Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development (BREAD), a Member of the Jameel Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL) network, an Affiliate at the Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA), and a Research Affiliate with Innovations for Poverty Action (IPA). Prof. Muralidharan's primary research interests include development, public, and labor economics.

Sponsored by:

Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies, Stanford Graduate School of Education, Rural Education Action Program, Center for Education Policy Analysis

Contact: Natalie Johnson nsydneyj@stanford.edu

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