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Abstract:

The uprisings that spread across the Middle East in 2011 created new hope for democratic change in the Arab world.  Four years later, the euphoria that greeted the Arab uprisings has given way to a far more somber mood, a recognition of the limits of mass protests to bring about political change, and acknowledgement that the region's entrenched authoritarian regimes are more resilient than many protesters imagined. Yet in responding to the challenge of mass politics, authoritarian regimes in the Middle East have not simply shown their resilience. In adapting to new challenges they have also changed, giving rise to new and more troubling forms of authoritarian rule, suggesting that the turmoil of recent years may be only the beginning of an extended period of political instability, violence, and repression in many parts of the Middle East.

Speaker Bio:

heydemann photo Steven Heydemann

Steven Heydemann serves as the vice president of Applied Research on Conflict at United States Institute of Peace. Heydemann is a political scientist who specializes in the comparative politics and the political economy of the Middle East, with a particular focus on Syria. His interests include authoritarian governance, economic development, social policy, political and economic reform and civil society. From 2003 to 2007, Heydemann directed the Center for Democracy and Civil Society at Georgetown University. From 1997 to 2001, he was an associate professor in the department of political science at Columbia University. Earlier, from 1990-1997, he directed the Social Science Research Council’s Program on International Peace and Security and Program on the Near and Middle East. Heydemann is the author of Authoritarianism in Syria: Institutions and Social Conflict, 1946-1970 (Cornell University Press, 1999), and editor of Networks of Privilege in the Middle East: The Politics of Economic Reform Revisited, (Palgrave Press, 2004), and War, Institutions and Social Change in the Middle East (University of California Press, 2000).

This event is co-sponsored by the Arab Studies Institute



 

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Goldman Conference Room
4th Floor East Wing E409
Encina Hall
616 Serra Street
Stanford, California 94305

Steven Heydemann Vice President, Applied Research on Conflict USIP
Seminars
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This event has been cancelled. We will update our website once the new date has been determined.

Encina Hall, C148
616 Jane Stanford Way
Stanford, CA 94305

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Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Director of the Ford Dorsey Master's in International Policy
Research Affiliate at The Europe Center
Professor by Courtesy, Department of Political Science
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Francis Fukuyama is the Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at Stanford University's Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI), and a faculty member of FSI's Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law (CDDRL). He is also Director of Stanford's Ford Dorsey Master's in International Policy, and a professor (by courtesy) of Political Science.

Dr. Fukuyama has written widely on issues in development and international politics. His 1992 book, The End of History and the Last Man, has appeared in over twenty foreign editions. His book In the Realm of the Last Man: A Memoir will be published in fall 2026.

Francis Fukuyama received his B.A. from Cornell University in classics, and his Ph.D. from Harvard in Political Science. He was a member of the Political Science Department of the RAND Corporation, and of the Policy Planning Staff of the US Department of State. From 1996-2000 he was Omer L. and Nancy Hirst Professor of Public Policy at the School of Public Policy at George Mason University, and from 2001-2010 he was Bernard L. Schwartz Professor of International Political Economy at the Paul H. Nitze School of Advanced International Studies, Johns Hopkins University. He served as a member of the President’s Council on Bioethics from 2001-2004. He is editor-in-chief of American Purpose, an online journal.

Dr. Fukuyama holds honorary doctorates from Connecticut College, Doane College, Doshisha University (Japan), Kansai University (Japan), Aarhus University (Denmark), the Pardee Rand Graduate School, and Adam Mickiewicz University (Poland). He is a non-resident fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. He is a member of the Board of Trustees of the Rand Corporation, the Board of Trustees of Freedom House, and the Board of the Volcker Alliance. He is a fellow of the National Academy for Public Administration, a member of the American Political Science Association, and of the Council on Foreign Relations. He is married to Laura Holmgren and has three children.

(October 2025)

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Date Label
Olivier Nomellini Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI); Resident in FSI's Center on Democracy, Development, and the Rule of Law; Professor, by courtesy, of Political Science Speaker Stanford University
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Aims: Concerns have been raised about the increasing trend in diabetes among lean populations including Southeast Asians. However, this issue is less studied in Vietnam. We determined the prevalence of diabetes and prediabetes, and quantitatively evaluated associated risk factors among Vietnamese adults.

Methods: Subjects were 5,602 men and 10,680 women aged 30-69 years who participated in community diabetes screening programs during 2011-2013 in northeastern Vietnam. Diabetes was defined as fasting plasma glucose (FPG) ≥7.0 mmol/L or 2-h postload PG ≥11.1 mmol/L. Prediabetes was defined as FPG ≥6.1 mmol/L and <7.0 mmol/L or FPG <7.0 mmol/l and 2-h postload PG ≥7.8 mmol/L and <11.1 mmol/L. Putative risk factors were elicited through an interview-administered questionnaire. The authors calculated standardized prevalence rates of prediabetes and diabetes in 2011-2013 and demographic projections for 2030, and used multiple logistic regression analysis  to estimate odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals for the association of multiple risk factors with diabetes and prediabetes.     

Results: The overall age- and sex-standardized prevalence of diabetes was 6.0% and of prediabetes was 13.5%. Among urban residents, age- and sex-adjusted prevalence of diabetes was 6.7%, compared with 5.2% among rural/mountainous inhabitants. The age- and residence-adjusted prevalence of diabetes was 8.0% in men and 5.4% in women. Population aging is projected to raise the total prevalence of diabetes to 7.0% and of prediabetes to 15.3% by 2030. Advancing age, obesity, large waist-to-hip ratio and hypertension were each associated with higher prevalence of diabetes, whereas the opposite direction of association was observed for underweight and ethnic minority peoples in both genders. In addition, diabetes was positively associated with family history of diabetes in women, and inversely related to physically heavy work in men.

Conclusions: The present study found that in 2011-2013, around one in 17 adults had diabetes and one in 7 adults had prediabetes in northeastern Vietnam . Urbanization, population aging, elevated adiposity, uncontrolled hypertension and sedentary work may be important contributors to the increased prevalence of diabetes in this country.

Dr. Ngoc Minh Pham, the 2014-15 Stanford-APO Developing Asia Health Policy fellow with the Stanford Asia Health Policy Program, is a health professional with teaching and research experiences in epidemiology and public health in Vietnam and Japan. He obtained his MD degree from Thai Nguyen University of Medicine and Pharmacy - Vietnam in 1997, MPH from The University of Melbourne - Australia in 2004, and PhD from Kyushu University - Japan in 2011. His main interests are public health, disease prevention and the rural-urban divide in developing countries, including the epidemiology of lifestyle-related diseases including diabetes, metabolic syndrome, cancer, insulin resistance and mental illness. At Stanford, Pham is studying the epidemiology of diabetes and developing a conceptual framework for diabetes prevention and management in Vietnam, particularly in mountainous areas of that country.

Philippines Conference Room

Encina Hall Central, 3rd Floor

616 Serra Street, Stanford University

Stanford, CA 94305

Ngoc Minh Pham 2014-15 Stanford-APO Developing Asia Health Policy fellow with the Stanford Asia Health Policy Program
Seminars
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Is Europe "elderly and haggard", and could France become "the crucible of  Europe" (Jan. 10, 2015 NYTimes op-ed)?

On the one hand, Europe is warned by the US about an Asian "pivot", and is perceived here as less relevant and effective. Significantly, certainly as a wake up call, Pope Francis recently compared Europe to  a "grandmother, no longer fertile and vibrant, increasingly a bystander in a world that has apparently become less and less Eurocentric”. France had been previously presented here as an eminent representative of an "Old Europe".

On the other hand,  the US has been constantly, during the last decade, advocating for a stronger Europe  and stressing a special French role in this endeavour. A few days ago, after the terrorist attacks in Paris, President Obama publicly stated that "France was the US oldest Ally". 

At a time when we have to face common challenges in the Middle East and in Africa, to adapt to new emerged actors and a more assertive Russia, to deal with direct threats including in the field of proliferation and the cyber space, to define a multipolar world and organize our economic relation (TTIP), what can be the EU contribution? What can also be a special intellectual and diplomatic French input to this global realignment?

Co-sponsored by The Europe Center, the Center for International Security and Cooperation and the France-Stanford Center.

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Ambassador Eric Lebédel of France

 

Ambassador Eric Lebédel is a French diplomat, former ambassador to the OSCE and to Finland, with a deep experience in Transatlantic relationship (twice as Minister's advisor;  in the French embassy in Washington DC) and in European affairs. He is also involved in crisis management (PMs office), international security (embassy in Moscow, consul general in Istanbul) and multilateral diplomacy ( NATO's Director for crisis management, OSCE). Presently working on Strategic Partnerships for the French MFA and interested in e.diplomacy, he also regularly lectures  at Sciences-po and ENA (Ecole Nationale d'Administration) on crisis management and Europe.

 

 

 

 

Ambassador Eric Lebédel French Diplomat Speaker
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Abstract:

Authoritarian ruling parties are expected to resist democratization, often times at all costs. And yet some of the strongest authoritarian parties in the world have not resisted democratization, but have instead embraced it. This is because their raison d’etre is to continue ruling, though not necessarily to remain authoritarian. Put another way, democratization requires ruling parties hold free and fair elections, but not that they lose them. Authoritarian ruling parties can thus be incentivized to concede democratization from a position of exceptional strength. This alternative pathway to democracy is illustrated with Asian cases – notably Taiwan – in which ruling parties democratized from positions of considerable strength, and not weakness. The conceding-to-thrive argument has clear implications with respect to “candidate cases” in developmental Asia, where ruling parties have not yet conceded democratization despite being well-positioned to thrive were they to do so, such as the world’s most populous dictatorship, China.

 

Bio:

Joseph Wong is the Ralph and Roz Halbert Professor of Innovation at the Munk School of Global Affairs, University of Toronto, and Professor of Political Science and Canada Research Chair in Democratization, Health and Development. Professor Wong was the Director of the Asian Institute at the Munk School from 2005 to 2014. In addition to academic articles and book chapters, Professor Wong has published four books: Healthy Democracies: Welfare Politics in Taiwan and South Korea (2004) and Betting on Biotech: Innovation and the Limits of Asia’s Developmental State (2011), both published by Cornell University Press, as well as Political Transitions in Dominant Party Systems: Learning to Lose, co-edited with Edward Friedman (Routledge, 2008), and Innovating for the Global South: Towards a New Innovation Agenda, co-edited with Dilip Soman and Janice Stein (University of Toronto Press, 2014). He is currently working on a book monograph with Dan Slater (University of Chicago) on Asia’s development and democracy, which is currently under contract with Princeton University Press. Professor Wong earned his Hons. B.A from McGill University (1995) and Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison (2001). 

Philippines Conference Room, 3rd Floor, Encina Hall

616 Serra St., Stanford, CA

Joe Wong Professor and Canada Research Chair in Political Science University of Toronto
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DEPARTMENT OF ANTHROPOLOGY COLLOQUIUM SERIES

 

In politics, mainstream media, and humanitarianism, people equate North Korea with oppression and violence while characterizing South Korea along the lines of freedom and liberation. However, North Koreans resettling into South Korea are not newborn, unformed citizens ready to regain qualitative life. Violence— visible and invisible, public and private, intentional and unintentional—permeates the experience of forced migrations and often extends into post-resettlement life, shaping and defining every phase of refugee resettlement processes. It is of paramount importance, therefore, to examine how violence operates in the lived experiences of citizenship as refugees resettle into host societies of asylum. In this talk, Joowon Park will discuss the ways in which North Korean “defectors/refugees” experience ongoing structural and invisible violence in South Korea (e.g. stunted growth from malnutrition, stigma and discrimination, family separation and remittance networks, legacies from the Korean War), and how this violence impacts their citizenship and belonging. Based on ethnographic research, his study traces the active role of violence in post-resettlement life and the structural obstacles complicating—even shutting out—the possibility of gaining social entrance within the country of resettlement despite the seeming advantages of shared history, culture, and language.

Joowon Park is a Ph.D. candidate and lecturer at the American University in Washington, DC. His research is supported by grants from the National Science Foundation, the Wenner-Gren Foundation, the Explorers Club Washington Group, and numerous internal grants from American University. His interests in violence and citizenship have been influenced in part by his background as a Korean raised and educated in Kenya where he encountered these issues in everyday life. Thus, the themes of power, governance, and structural inequality—which are the central themes of his research—also frame his teaching. Joowon Park holds a bachelor's degree from DePauw University and a MAPA from American University.

Building 50 (Anthropology), Room 51A

Stanford University

Contact Ms. Emily Bishop, ebishop1@stanford.edu

Joowon Park PhD candidate at American University
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

Abstract:

How a government chooses to finance a health intervention has consequences in multiple domains. The choice of financing mechanisms can affect the uptake of health interventions and lead to widespread health gains. In addition to health gains, certain policies like public finance can insure against the need to make expenditures which would otherwise throw households into poverty. We present methods of extended cost-effectiveness analysis (ECEA) for evaluating the consequences of health policies on health, impoverishment and equity which estimate health gains (deaths averted), financial risk protection afforded (cases of poverty averted), and distributional consequences of health policies. The ECEA approach incorporates financial risk protection and equity into the systematic evaluation of health policy. ECEA allows policymakers to determine the efficient purchase of both financial risk protection and equity in addition to health for a given benefits package, toward universal health coverage.

Stephane Verguet Assistant Professor University of Washington
Seminars
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All research in progress seminars are off-the-record. Any information about methodology and/or results are embargoed until publication.

Co-authored with: Mark R. Cullen, Michael Baiocchi, Pooja Loftus, Victor Fuchs

Abstract:

Sex differences in mortality (SDIM) vary over time and place as a function of social and medical conditions. The magnitude of these variations, and their abruptness in response to large socioeconomic changes, suggest that biological differences alone cannot fully account for observed sex differences in survival. We document “stylized facts” about SDIM with which any theory will ultimately have to contend, drawing from a wide swath of available mortality data, including variation in probability of survival to age 70 by county in the United States, to Human Mortality Database data for 18 high-income countries since 1900, to mortality data within and between developing countries over the time periods for which reasonably reliable data are available. We show that, in each of the periods of economic development after the onset of demographic and epidemiologic transition, cross-sectional variation in SDIM exhibits a consistent pattern of female resilience to mortality under adversity. Moreover, as societies develop, M/F survival first declines and then increases, a “SDIM transition” embedded within the demographic and epidemiologic transitions.
 

Shorenstein APARC
Stanford University
Encina Hall E301
Stanford, CA 94305-6055

(650) 723-9072 (650) 723-6530
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Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Center Fellow at the Center for Health Policy and the Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research
Faculty Research Fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research
Faculty Affiliate at the Stanford Center on China's Economy and Institutions
karen-0320_cropprd.jpg PhD

Karen Eggleston is a Senior Fellow at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) at Stanford University and Director of the Stanford Asia Health Policy Program at the Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center at FSI. She is also a Fellow with the Center for Innovation in Global Health at Stanford University School of Medicine, and a Faculty Research Fellow of the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). Her research focuses on government and market roles in the health sector and Asia health policy, especially in China, India, Japan, and Korea; healthcare productivity; and the economics of the demographic transition.

Eggleston earned her PhD in public policy from Harvard University and has MA degrees in economics and Asian studies from the University of Hawaii and a BA in Asian studies summa cum laude (valedictorian) from Dartmouth College. Eggleston studied in China for two years and was a Fulbright scholar in Korea. She served on the Strategic Technical Advisory Committee for the Asia Pacific Observatory on Health Systems and Policies and has been a consultant to the World Bank, the Asian Development Bank, and the WHO regarding health system reforms in the PRC.

Director, Asia Health Policy Program at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center
Stanford Health Policy Associate
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Karen Eggleston
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Speaker Bio

I am a population scientist working on collecting, validating, and analyzing new and existing survey data. My research focuses on internet use in developing countries and making population estimates from sampled populations on- and off-line. Prior to joining Facebook I did graduate study in sociology at Chicago, Oxford, and the LSE. I did further work at the Harris School of Public Policy, the American Journal of Sociology, NORC, and the Center for TIme Use Research.

Interests

Demography, survey methodology, sociology, time diary data
 

 

This event is part of the Liberation Technology Seminar Series

**** NOTE LOCATION****

School of Education 

Room 128

Michael Corey Population Scientist, Facebook
Seminars
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Speaker Bio

14120 Michael Callen
Michael Callen

Assistant Professor, Public Policy

Harvard Kennedy School

 

 

Michael Callen is assistant professor of public policy at the Harvard Kennedy School of Government. His recent work uses experiments to identify ways to address accountability and service delivery failures in the public sector. He has published in the American Economic Review, the Journal of Conflict Resolution, and the British Journal of Political Science. He is an Affiliate of Evidence for Policy Design (EPoD), the Bureau for Research and Economic Analysis of Development (BREAD), the Jameel-Poverty Action Lab (J-PAL), the Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA), the Center for Economic Research Pakistan (CERP), Empirical Studies of Conflict (ESOC), and a Principal Investigator on the Building Capacity for the Use of Research Evidence (BCURE): Data and evidence for smart policy design project. His primary interests are political economy, development economics, and experimental economics.

This event is part of the Liberation Technology Seminar Series

**** NOTE LOCATION****

School of Education

Room 128

Michael Callen Assistant Professor, Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School
Seminars
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