The demographics of Japan’s aging society has galvanized a wide range of corporate efforts, supported both directly and indirectly by the government, to aggressively develop artificial intelligence-driven technologies and IT systems to perform work for which labor shortages are accelerating. We are beginning to see concrete corporate offerings to address shortages of specific types of skilled and unskilled labor, as well as numerous efforts underway to develop systems to cope with sparsely populated, elderly geographic regions and the logistics surrounding eldercare more generally.

In this talk, based on a forthcoming book chapter, Kushida examines specific corporate cases and government strategies suggesting how Japan’s population aging and shrinking has led to three primary interrelated drivers of significance to shaping technological trajectories: 1) Demographics as market opportunity of an entirely unprecedented scale to serve the needs of a rapidly aging society; 2) demographic change creating an acute labor shortage; and 3) favorable political and regulatory dynamics for pursuing the development and diffusion of new technological trajectories to solve social and economic challenges caused by demographic change. A critical implication is that if technologies developed or deployed within Japan to solve domestic demographic problems are applicable elsewhere, then Japan’s demographic challenge can be an opportunity to cultivate competitive products and services in global markets.

SPEAKER

Image

Kenji E. Kushida is a Japan Program Research Scholar at the Walter H. Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center and an affiliated researcher at the Berkeley Roundtable on the International Economy. Kushida’s research interests are in the fields of comparative politics, political economy, and information technology. He has four streams of academic research and publication: political economy issues surrounding information technology such as Cloud Computing; institutional and governance structures of Japan’s Fukushima nuclear disaster; political strategies of foreign multinational corporations in Japan; and Japan’s political economic transformation since the 1990s. Kushida has written two general audience books in Japanese, entitled Biculturalism and the Japanese: Beyond English Linguistic Capabilities (Chuko Shinsho, 2006) and International Schools, an Introduction (Fusosha, 2008). Kushida holds a PhD in political science from the University of California, Berkeley. He received his MA in East Asian studies and BAs in economics and East Asian studies, all from Stanford University.

PARKING

Please note there is significant construction taking place on campus, which is greatly affecting parking availability and traffic patterns at the university. Please plan accordingly. Nearest parking garage is Structure 7, below the Graduate School of Business Knight School of Management.

Diabetes is a significant problem worldwide and especially for developing countries including Thailand, where the disease has increased in prevalence rapidly, resulting in high healthcare expenditure and loss of productivity due to illness and premature death. Thailand has adopted multiple policies to control diabetes, such as screening through annual health checkups for people aged 35 and over, increasing healthcare access in rural communities, and developing diabetes clinical practice guidelines to improve the quality of care. However, multiple national health surveys still showed a rising pattern of diabetes in the country. To help understand and tackle the problem, we created a 10-year cohort using data from the national health exam survey (NHES) as a starting point and followed the population by linking to healthcare utilization and expenditure data from the universal health coverage scheme, the main health insurance program in Thailand. With this cohort, we study 3 topics. The first is to understand the burden of diabetes in the Thai health service system by calculating incidence of diabetes and its complications. Furthermore, we will identify factors which affect diabetes incidence and therefore can be used to create evidence-based control policies. Second, we seek to identify the bottleneck between each step in the “cascade of care” (screening, starting and adhering to treatment, and controlling disease). Finally, we will compare healthcare utilization patterns, expenditure, and outcomes related to diabetes between the overall population and vulnerable subgroups to identify factors that prevent vulnerable populations from obtaining better health outcomes.

Image

Age- and Time-trend in heavy drinking among Chinese Men: Modeling Approach
Kyu Lee, MS
Pre-Doctoral Student, Stanford Health Policy
Advisor: Jeremy Goldhaber-Fiebert, PhD

Kyueun is a PhD student in the Department of Health Research and Policy at Stanford University. She received her BS in Life Science from Pohang University of Science Technology, South Korea in 2012. During her training in basic science, she participated in a medical research to evaluate the efficacy of anti-cancer drug targeting ovarian cancer. After the graduation, she discovered her interest in the health policy and studied health services and research at the University of Minnesota during her MS degree. Prior to joining Stanford University, Kyueun worked as an research assistant at Harvard Center for Health Decision Science. She has worked on projects related to evaluating cervical cancer screening strategies in developing countries.

Celebrated for its natural beauty and its abundance of wildlife, the Mekong River runs thousands of miles through China, Myanmar, Laos, Thailand, Cambodia, and Vietnam. Its basin is home to more than 70 million people and has for centuries been one of the world's richest agricultural areas and a biodynamic wonder. Today, however, it is undergoing profound changes. Development policies, led by a rising China in particular, aim to interconnect the region and urbanize the inhabitants. A series of dams will harness the river's energy.  But they will also disrupt its natural cycles and cut off food supplies for swathes of the population.  Based on conversations with the diverse people he has encountered from the Mekong’s headwaters in China to its delta in southern Vietnam, Eyler will review and assess the urgent struggle to save the Mekong and its unique ecosystem.  Copies of his latest book, Last Days of the Mighty Mekong (2019), will be available for sale.

Image

Image

Part of the Economic History Seminar Series, co-sponsored by The Europe Center.