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Yuko Kasuya is a Visiting Scholar at the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law at Stanford University and an Associate Professor at the Faculty of Law, Keio University, Tokyo, Japan (on leave). Her current research explores conditions for transparency reform, with the focus on the recent global spread of Freedom of Information Acts (FOIAs). She examines how partisan politics influence the policy-making processes as well as the robustness of FOIAs using both quantitative and qualitative analyses.

She is the author of Presidential Bandwagon: Parties and Party Systems in the Philippines (Keio University Press, 2008), co-editor and contributor of Comparative Politics of Civil Society (Keio University Press, 2007, in Japanese), Politics of Change in the Philippines (Anvil, 2010), Comparative Politics of Asian Presidentialism (Minerva, 2010, in Japanese). She has also published articles in Electoral Studies, The Pacific Affairs, and Party Politics.

Kasuya holds a PhD in International Affairs from UC San Diego, an MA in Development Studies from Institute of Social Studies (Netherlands), and a BA in Political Science from Keio University (Japan). Her research has been funded by the Abe fellowship, Fullbright scholarship, Rotary scholarship, and other sources.

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In a recent interview with the Woodrow Wilson National Fellowship Foundation, Michael H. Armacost, Shorenstein Distinguished Fellow, reflected on his distinguished career in academia and government. Armacost, who received a Woodrow Wilson Fellowship in 1958, discussed about serving as United States Ambassador to the Philippines (1982-1984) and to Japan (1989-1993), and spoke with optimism about China’s growing economic and political influence as a positive "wake-up call" to the United States.
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Michael Armacost (right) with Masahiko Aoki, FSI senior fellow, at the September 2010 Stanford Kyoto Trans-Asian Dialogue. | Sarah Lin Bhatia
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On Monday, an undersea earthquake shook Indonesia's remote Mentawai Islands and triggered a 10-foot tsunami: It has killed at least 272 people, and left 412 missing. The first cargo plane with humanitarian supplies arrived today. Hundreds of miles away in eastern Java, the volcanic Mount Merapi erupted Tuesday and killed at least 30 people.

That's two disasters in less than 24 hours.

 Indonesia is no stranger to catastrophe. It is located along the Pacific Ring of Fire, which is one of the most seismically and volcanically volatile areas in the world. Its last sizeable earthquake and tsunami duo struck in December of 2004, killing more than 225,000 people in 14 countries.

But despite the death and destruction of the last 48 hours, Indonesian Foreign Minister Marty Natalegawa said today that he doesn't yet see a need for foreign aid or rescue assistance.
So far, only the Philippines and the United States have offered to help Indonesia. But Natalegawa's behavior seems counter-intuitive. In the face of disaster, why would any country preemptively say no to aid?

A look into Indonesia's history reveals latent political sensitivities that may have influenced Natalegawa's decision. Indonesia's first president, Sukarno, was a founding member of the Non-Aligned Movement, an organization of countries who are not aligned with or against any major world power.

Indonesia prides itself on its "independent and active" foreign policy, which was first developed by then Vice President Mohammad Hatta on September 2, 1948 in Central Java. "Do we, Indonesians, in the struggle for the freedom of our people and our country, only have to choose between Russia and America?" he asked. "Is not there any other stand that we can take in the pursuit of our ideals?"

The "other stand" became known as "mendayung antara dua karang" or "rowing between two reefs."

Indonesia doesn't want to appear incompetent, or weak, to outside governments, and may also be wary to accept aid for fear of undermining its national legitimacy.
 
In 2004, Indonesia's acceptance of aid had an arguably negative effect on its citizens. "Though the post-tsunami reconstruction efforts in Aceh were generally successful, the amount of aid did engender some resentment in Jakarta over whether the national government had lost control of the reconstruction, and also potentially altered the economy in Aceh," explains Josh Kurlantzick a fellow for southeast Asia at the Council on Foreign Relations. "So people remember that."

Donald Emmerson, the director of the Southeast Asia Forum at Stanford University's Shorenstein Asia-Pacific Research Center, cites several reasons for Natalegawa's response. First, he says, if the Indonesian government solicited foreign aid, it would be inundated with offers. Coordinating offers of assistance right now would be a severe burden on the government.
 
Then there's the question of scale: so far, the destruction seems manageable in comparison to the 2004 disaster. Still, it's unclear whether Indonesia will be able to adequately respond on its own. "Indonesia is a large country, and its infrastructure is overstretched," Emmerson says. "Its capacity to respond effectively to domestic disasters is not as good as it might be."

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Shorenstein APARC
Encina Hall E313
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(650) 725-5781 (650) 723-6530
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2010-2011 Visiting Scholar
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Mr. Yu is a former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Trade of Korea. He served as Korea's Ambassador to Israel, Japan and Philippines.

SPRIE Fellow Robert Eberhart spoke on economic growth strategies at the Philippine Development Foundation USA's "PhilDev USA Business Forum" on September 25 in San Jose. The forum, held to discuss solutions to the Philippines' most pressing development problems, was attended by Filipino and Filipino-American professionals and thought leaders, including Philippine President Benigno ("Noynoy") Aquino III and members of the Philippine senate. Eberhart’s presentation, "The Philippines in the New Asian Economic Dynamic," was given as part of a session on "Innovation and Entrepreneurship" and is available for download on the SPRIE website.

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SPRIE Researcher Robert Eberhart spoke on economic growth strategies at the Philippine Development Foundation USA's "PhilDev USA Business Forum" on September 25 in San Jose. The forum, held to discuss solutions to the Philippines' most pressing development problems, was attended by Filipino and Filipino-American professionals and thought leaders, including Philippine President Benigno ("Noynoy") Aquino III and members of the Philippine senate. Eberhart's presentation, "The Philippines in the New Asian Economic Dynamic," was given as part of a session on "Innovation and Entrepreneurship" and is available for download on the SPRIE website.
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