Risk and Game Analyses: From Engineering to the Social Sciences
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Reuben W. Hills Conference Room
Elisabeth Paté-Cornell
475 Via Ortega Room 336
Huang Engineering Building
Stanford, CA 94305
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mep@stanford.edu
Burt and Deedee McMurtry Professor of Engineering
Professor of Management Science and Engineering
CISAC Affiliated Faculty Member
Chair (Emerita) of Management Science and Engineering
FSI Senior Fellow by courtesy
Dr. M. Elisabeth Paté-Cornell was born in Dakar, Senegal. Her academic degrees are in mathematics and physics (BS, Marseilles, France, 1968), applied mathematics and computer science (MS and Engineer Degree, Institut Polytechnique de Grenoble, France, 1970; 1971), operations research (MS, Stanford, 1972), and engineering-economic systems (Stanford, PhD, 1978). She was an Assistant Professor of Civil Engineering at MIT (1978 to 1981). In 1981, she joined the Stanford Department of Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management, where she became Professor (1991), then Chair (1997). In 1999, she was named the Burt and Deedee McMurtry Professor in the Stanford School of Engineering. She oversaw from 1999, the merger of two Stanford departments to form a new department of Management Science and Engineering, which she chaired from January 2000 to June 2011. She is a Senior Fellow (by courtesy) of the Stanford Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies. She joined CISAC as an affiliated faculty member in September 2011.
She was elected to the National Academy of Engineering in 1995, to its Council (2001-2007), and to the French Académie des Technologies (2003). She was a member of the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board (2001-2004; 2006-2008). Her current memberships include the Boards of Trustees of the Aerospace Corp. (2004-), of InQtel (2006-) and of Draper Corporation (2009-). She is a member of the Board of Advisors of the Naval Postgraduate School, which she chaired from 2004 to 2006.
She is a world leader in engineering risk analysis and management and more generally, the use of Bayesian probability to process incomplete information. Her research and that of her Engineering Risk Research Group at Stanford have focused on the inclusion of technical and management factors in probabilistic risk analysis models with applications to the NASA shuttle tiles, offshore oil platforms and medical systems. Since 2001, she has combined risk analysis and game analysis to assess intelligence information and risks of terrorist attacks.
She is past president (1995)/fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis, and fellow of the Institute for Operations Research and Management Science. She has been a consultant to many industrial firms and government organizations. She has authored or co-authored more than a hundred papers in refereed journals and conference proceedings. She has received several best-paper awards from professional organizations and peer-reviewed journals.
Seminars
Brenna Powell
Encina Hall
Stanford, CA 94305-6055
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brenna@stanford.edu
Visiting Scholar, 2011-12
Brenna Marea Powell received her PhD in Government and Social Policy from Harvard in 2011. She is interested in comparative racial and ethnic politics, conflict and inequality. Her research includes security and policing in divided societies, as well as racial politics in Brazil and the United States. She has been a graduate fellow at Harvard's Wiener Center for Inequality and Social Policy, and Stanford's Center for International Security and Cooperation. Prior to her graduate study, she spent five years working with the Stanford
Center on International Conflict and Negotiation on grassroots dialogue and community-based mediation programs in Northern Ireland. Brenna speaks Portuguese and received her BA from Stanford in Comparative Studies in Race and Ethnicity.
At CDDRL, Brenna is working with the Global Commission on Elections, Democracy and Security supported by the Kofi Annan Foundation and International IDEA. She is also working on a book project about post-conflict policing in Northern Ireland.
Henrik Larsen
Encina Hall
616 Serra Street
Stanford, CA 94305-6055
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hlarsen@stanford.edu
Visiting Researcher
Henrik Boesen Lindbo Larsen is a CDDRL visiting researcher 2011-12, while researching on his PhD project titled NATO Democracy Promotion: the Geopolitical Effects of Declining Hegemonic Power. He expects to obtain his PhD from the University of Southern Denmark and the Danish Institute for International Studies (DIIS) in 2013.
Henrik Larsen’s PhD project views democracy promotion as a policy resulting from power transitions as mediated through the predominant narratives of great powers. It distinguishes between two main types of democracy promotion, the ability to attract (enlargement, partnerships) and the ability to impose (out-of-area missions, state-building). NATO’s external policies are increasingly pursued with a lower intensity and/or with a stronger geographical demarcation.
Prior to his PhD studies, Henrik Larsen held temporary positions for the UNHCR in the Eastern Democratic Republic of the Congoand with the Ministry for Foreign Affairs of Denmark working with Russia & the Eastern neighborhood. He holds an MSc in political science from the University of Aarhus complemented with studies at the University of Montreal, Sciences Po Paris and the University of Geneva. He has been a research intern at École Militaire in Paris and he is member of the Danish roster for election observation missions for the OSCE and the EU.
Publications
- "Libya: Beyond Regime Change”, DIIS Policy Brief, October 2011.
- "Cooperative Security: Waning Influence in the Eastern Neighbourhood" in Rynning, S. & Ringsmose, J. (eds.), NATO’s New Strategic Concept: A Comprehensive Assessment, DIIS Report 2011: 02.
- "The Russo-Georgian War and Beyond: towards a European Great Power Concert", DIIS Working Paper 2009: 32 (a revised version currently under peer review).
- "Le Danemark dans la politique européenne de sécurité et de défense: dérogation, autonomie et influence" (Denmarkin the European Security and Defense Policy: Exemption, Autonomy and Influence) (2008), Revue Stratégique vol. 91-92.
Europe Now: The Generosity of Dante's "Divine Comedy"
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Co-sponsored by the Stanford Humanities Center
Levinthal Hall
Robert Harrison
121 Pigott Hall
Stanford University
Stanford, CA 94305
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harrison@stanford.edu
Senior Fellow, by courtesy, at the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies
Rosina Pierotti Professor of Italian Literature
Professor of French and Italian
Professor Harrison received his doctorate in Romance Studies from Cornell University in 1984, with a dissertation on Dante's Vita Nuova. In 1985 he accepted a visiting assistant professorship in the Department of French and Italian at Stanford. In 1986 he joined the faculty as an assistant professor. He was granted tenure in 1992 and was promoted to full professor in 1995. In 1997 Stanford offered him the Rosina Pierotti Chair. In 2002, he was named chair of the Department of French and Italian. In 2014 he was knighted "Chevalier" by the French Republic. He is a member of the American Academy of Arts & Sciences, and lead guitarist for the cerebral rock band Glass Wave.
Professor Harrison's first book, The Body of Beatrice, was published by Johns Hopkins University Press in 1988. It deals with medieval Italian lyric poetry, with special emphasis on Dante's early work La Vita Nuova. The Body of Beatrice was translated into Japanese in 1994. Over the next few years Professor Harrison worked on his next book, Forests: The Shadow of Civilization, which appeared in 1992 with University of Chicago Press. This book deals with the ways in which the Western imagination has symbolized, represented, and conceived of forests, primarily in literature, religion, and mythology. It offers a select history that begins in antiquity and ends in our own time. Forests appeared simultaneously in English, French, Italian, and German. It subsequently appeared in Japanese and Korean as well. In 1994 his book Rome, la Pluie: A Quoi Bon Littérature? appeared in France, Italy, and Germany. This book is written in the form of dialogues between two characters and deals with topics such as art restoration, the vocation of literature, and the place of the dead in contemporary society.
Professor Harrison's next book, The Dominion of the Dead, published in 2003 by University of Chicago Press, examines the relations the living maintain with the dead in diverse secular realms. This book was translated into German, French and Italian. Professor Harrison's book Gardens: An Essay on the Human Condition appeared in 2008 with the University of Chicago Press, in French with Le Pommier, and in Italian with Fazi Editori , and in German with Hanser Verlag (it subsequently appeared in Chinese translation). His most recent book Juvenescence: A Cultural History of Our Age came out in 2014 with Chicago University Press. In 2005 Harrison started a literary talk show on KZSU radio called "Entitled Opinions." The show features hour long conversations with a variety of scholars, writers, and scientists. Robert Harrison is also the Director of Another Look, a Stanford-based book club.
Affiliated faculty at The Europe Center
Seminars
European and Global Economic Crisis Series: "Saving the Euro with Minimal Changes to the European Architecture"
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Professor Van Nieuwerburgh's research lies in the intersection of macroeconomics, asset pricing, and housing. One strand of his work studies how financial market liberalization in the mortgage market relaxed households' down payment constraints, and how that affected the macro-economy, and the prices of stocks and bonds. In this area, he has also worked on regional housing prices and on household's mortgage choice.
Professor Van Nieuwerburgh has published articled in the Journal of Finance, Review of Financial Studies, Journal of Financial Economics, Review of Economic Studies, and the Journal of Monetary Economics, among other journals. He is an Associate Editor at the Review of Financial Studies and at the Journal of Empirical Finance. He is a Faculty Research Associate at the National Bureau of Economic Research and at the Center for European Policy Research.
Professor Van Nieuwerburgh earned his Ph.D. in Economics and Masters in Financial Mathematics at Stanford University and his Bachelor's degree in economics at the University of Ghent in Belgium.
Advanced reading material: "European Safe Bonds"
CISAC Conference Room
Stijn Van Nieuwerburgh
Associate Professor of Finance and the Yamaichi Faculty Fellow
Speaker
New York University Leonard N. Stern School of Business
Seminars
Program on Human Rights Workshop on Human Trafficking
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As part of PHR's work to organize an edited volume capturing some of the main issues related to human trafficking addressed during the Winter Series, on April 20, authors will present their papers to a panel of experts.
The authors and papers that we anticipate will be presented at the workshop are as follows:
Katherine Jolluck, Trafficking of women in Eastern Europe
Richard Roberts, The history of anti-Trafficking efforts
Helga Konrad and Nadejda Marques, The European perspective on international cooperation
Cindy Liou and Annie Fukushima, Shortcomings of the current anti-trafficking model
Helen Stacy, Contemporary research needs
In addition to the sessions in which these papers will be workshopped, there will be two additional presentations open to the public.
First, at 9:00AM, David Batstone, director and co-founder of the Not for Sale Campaign will speak about his work.
At 12:00 noon, Congresswoman Jackie Speier (D., CA) will speak about anti-trafficking efforts in California and in the United States Congress.
CISAC Conference Room
David Batstone
Director and Co-founder
Speaker
Not For Sale Campaign
Congresswoman Jackie Speier
(D., CA)
Speaker
Workshops
A Critique of Repressive Approaches to Combat Human Trafficking
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Alison Brysk is the Mellichamp Chair in Global Governance, Global and International Studies at UC Santa Barbara. She has authored or edited eight books on international human rights including the book From Human Trafficking to Human Rights. Professor Brysk has been a visiting scholar in Argentina, Ecuador, France, Spain, Sweden, the Netherlands, South Africa, and Japan, and in 2007 held the Fulbright Distinguished Visiting Chair in Global Governance at Canada's Centre for International Governance Innovation.Image
Dr. Mohammed Mattar is the executive director of the Protection Project. He has worked in over 50 countries to promote state compliance with international human rights standards and has advised governments on drafting and implementing anti-trafficking legislation. He participated in drafting the United Nations model law on trafficking in persons and he authored the Inter-Parliamentarian Handbook on the appropriate responses to trafficking in persons. Dr. Mattar currently teaches courses on international and comparative law at Georgetown University, Johns Hopkins University (SAIS) and American University, and has authored numerous publications for law reviews and the United Nations on international human rights and Islamic law, trafficking in persons and reporting mechanisms.Image
Bechtel Conference Center
Alison Brysk
Mellichamp Professor of Global Governance in the Global and International Studies Program
Speaker
UCSB
Dr. Mohammed Mattar
Executive Director of the Protection Project
Speaker
Johns Hopkins University
Helen Stacy
Director
Host
Program on Human Rights
Seminars
Human trafficking in times of war: Lessons learned in Bosnia
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Madeline Rees, Secretary General of the Women’s International League for Peace and Freedom, began working for the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights as the gender expert and Head of Office in Bosnia and Herzegovina in 1998. In that capacity she worked extensively on the rule of law, gender and post conflict, transitional justice and the protection of social and economic rights. The OHCHR office dealt extensively with the issue of trafficking and Madeleine was a member of the expert coordination group of the trafficking task force of the Stability Pact, thence the Alliance against Trafficking. From September 2006 to April 2010 she was the head of the Women`s rights and gender unit.
Bechtel Conference Center
Madeline Rees
Former UN High Comisioner for Human Rights in Bosnia-Secretary General Womens International League for Peace and Freedom
Speaker
Helen Stacy
Director
Host
Program on Human Rights
Katherine Jolluck
Senior Lecturer
Moderator
Stanford History Department
Seminars
Combating Human Trafficking: The Role of Governments, Philanthropic Institutions and Non-Governmental Organizations
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Bradley Myles is the executive director and CEO at Polaris. Mr. Myles has provided consultation, training, and technical assistance on anti-trafficking strategies to hundreds of audiences, including human trafficking task forces and coalitions across the nation, government agencies, federal and local law enforcement, U.S. Members of Congress, media, service providers, and foreign delegations. He has also been a key advocate in bridging the national anti-trafficking program areas of multiple federal government agencies in the U.S. Departments of State, Homeland Security, Justice, and Health and Human Services.Image
Helga Konrad is the head of the Austria Regional Initiative to Prevent and Combat all Forms of Human Trafficking. She has been working on the issue of human trafficking for more than 20 years at local, national, regional and international levels in various functions – as expert, advisor, manager, coordinator, parliamentarian and politician.Image
In her capacities as special representative, chair of the Stability Pact Task Force for South Eastern Europe and International Consultant she has provided assistance to governments and State authorities in developing national and transnational anti-trafficking strategies and in order to help improve their capacities to act on their own and in cooperation with others. From 2004 to 2006, she served as Special Representative on Combating Trafficking in Human Beings of the OSCE – Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe. From 2000 to 2004, she served as regional co-ordinator and chair of the EU Stability Pact Task Force on Human Trafficking for South Eastern Europe.
Bechtel Conference Center
Bradley Myles
Executive Director and CEO
Speaker
Polaris Project
Helga Konrad
Executive Director Anti-Trafficking, Austrian Institute for International Affairs
Speaker
Seminars