Tracking China's Economic Path
Below is an excerpt from the SIEPR policy brief published online.
"As the United States and China enter a new and contentious phase of their relationship, Stanford scholars are setting and expanding research agendas to analyze China’s economic development and its impact on the world. The newly launched Stanford Center on China’s Economy and Institutions (SCCEI, pronounced “sky”) was formed by the Stanford Institute for Economic Policy Research (SIEPR) and the Freeman Spogli Institute for International Studies (FSI) to support their work.
The goal of SCCEI and its affiliated faculty is to provide a dispassionate, fact-based architecture that can help policymakers, business leaders and the general public navigate the fraught relationship between the U.S. and China.
This policy brief outlines the scholarship already underway by some of SCCEI’s affiliates. It includes a range of research on the world’s most populous country: education and wage disparities; workforce transformation; emissions trading; China’s one-child policy; and the effect that racism against Chinese students in America has upon their views about authoritarian rule. As the center matures, research agendas will expand and focus on trade, global supply chains, technology, intellectual property rights, worker productivity, and a range of developing issues affecting the connection between Washington, D.C., and Beijing and the rest of the world."
Read the Full Policy Brief
Research in Progress: University of Pennsylvania, Peter Groeneveld - Cardiology Physician Group Practice Vertical Integration and the Use of Cardiovascular Imaging
Peter ("Pete") W. Groeneveld, MD, MS is Professor of Medicine at the University of Pennsylvania’s Perelman School of Medicine and a primary care physician at Philadelphia’s Corporal Michael J. Crescenz VA Medical Center. He is the Founding Director of Penn’s Cardiovascular Outcomes, Quality, and Evaluative Research (CAVOQER) Center, Director of Research at Penn’s Leonard Davis Institute of Health Economics (LDI), Chair of the VA’s Research and Development Committee, Co-Director of Penn’s Master of Science in Health Policy (MSHP) program, and Associate Director of the VA’s Center for Health Equity Research and Promotion. Dr. Groeneveld’s research is focused on the quality, outcomes, costs, and equity of high-technology cardiovascular care, and his methodological expertise is in the analysis of a wide variety of health care data, including administrative claims, clinical registries, electronic medical records, and surveys. His research has been funded by the VA, NIH, AHRQ, and the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania, and he has co-authored over 100 peer-reviewed publications. Dr. Groeneveld is a Fellow of the American Heart Association and of the American College of Physicians, and he is an elected member of the American Society for Clinical Investigation (ASCI).
Title: Cardiology Physician Group Practice Vertical Integration and the Use of Cardiovascular Imaging
Abstract: A substantial proportion of previously independent U.S. cardiology physician practices have become vertically integrated into larger health systems. It is unclear if vertical integration affected the clinical practice patterns of these cardiologists. Longitudinal data from cardiology practice surveys from 2008-2013 were combined with Medicare fee-for-service claims for two common cardiology imaging tests: echocardiograms and cardiac nuclear studies. Cardiologists who transitioned from independent to hospital- or health system-owned practices ordered 17% more echocardiograms and 10% more cardiac nuclear imaging studies after their practices had transitioned. Our findings surprisingly suggest that vertical integration of cardiologists' practices was associated with higher rates of cardiovascular imaging. Potential explanations include preferential integration of group practices with lower pre-integration imaging rates, increased post-integration clinician incentives for ordering tests, and/or reduced administrative barriers to obtaining testing after integration.
Zoom Meeting
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Choices In a Crisis - Individual Preferences Among SARS-CoV-2 Vaccines
To Address Drug Affordability, Grab the Low-Hanging Fruit
Research in Progress: Pascal Geldsetzer - Regression Discontinuity in Electronic Health Record Data
Pascal Geldsetzer, PhD
Assistant Professor of Medicine in the Division of Primary Care and Population Health
Title: Regression Discontinuity in Electronic Health Record Data
Abstract: Regression discontinuity in electronic health record (EHR) data combines the main advantage of randomized controlled trials (causal inference without needing to adjust for confounders) with the large size, low cost, and representativeness of observational studies in routinely collected medical data. Regression discontinuity could be an important tool to help clinical medicine move away from a “one size fits all” approach because, along with the increasing size and availability of EHR data, it would allow for a rigorous examination of how treatment effects vary across highly granular patient subgroups. In addition, given the broad range of health outcomes recorded in EHR data, this design could be used to systematically test for a wide range of unexpected beneficial and adverse health effects of different treatments. I will talk about the broad motivation for this research and discuss examples from some of our ongoing work in this area. If there is time, I will also discuss some of my ongoing research on improving healthcare services for chronic conditions in low- and middle-income country settings.
Zoom Meeting
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Research in Progress: Alyce S. Adams - Health Policy and the Fight for Equitable Healthcare Outcomes: Why Access Isn’t Enough
Alyce S. Adams, PhD
Professor of Medicine, Stanford's Center for Health Policy & Center for Primary Care and Outcomes Research
Professor of Epidemiology and Population Health in the Stanford School of Medicine
Associate Director for Health Equity and Community Engagement in the Stanford Cancer Institute
Title: Health Policy and the Fight for Equitable Healthcare Outcomes: Why Access Isn’t Enough
Abstract: Using evidence from evaluations of natural experiments, Alyce Adams will discuss the intended and unintended consequences of changes in prescription drug policy at the state and federal level of low income and minority individuals with multiple chronic conditions. We will explore the potential for policy effects to have an immediate and dramatic increase in access to clinically essential treatments. However, she will also discuss where such policies can widen, rather than reduce disparities in treatment. We concluded that increasing access (while critical) is not sufficient to address inequities in treatment use and outcomes among high risk populations. Importantly, new strategies are needed to inform the design of policy interventions that promote access, while simultaneously advancing health equity.
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Alyce S. Adams
Alyce Adams is a Professor of Health Policy and of Epidemiology and Population Health in the Stanford School of Medicine; Associate Chair, Partnership and Community Engagement for the Department of Health Policy; and Associate Director for Health Equity and Community Engagement in the Stanford Cancer Institute. Focusing on racial and socioeconomic disparities in chronic disease treatment outcomes, Dr. Adams' interdisciplinary research seeks to evaluate the impact of changes in drug coverage policy on access to essential medications, understand the drivers of disparities in treatment adherence among insured populations, and test strategies for maximizing the benefits of treatment outcomes while minimizing harms through informed decision-making. Prior to joining Stanford School of Medicine, Dr. Adams was Associate Director for Health Care Delivery and Policy and a Research Scientist at the Kaiser Permanente Division of Research, as well as a Professor at the Bernard J. Tyson Kaiser Permanente School of Medicine. From 2000 to 2008, she was an Assistant Professor in the Department of Population Medicine (formerly Ambulatory Care and Prevention) at Harvard Medical School and Harvard Pilgrim Health care. She received her PhD in Health Policy and an MPP in Social Policy from Harvard University. She is Vice Chair of the Board of Directors for AcademyHealth and a former recipient of the John M. Eisenberg Excellence in Mentoring Award from Agency for Healthcare Research and Quality and an invited lecturer on racial disparities in health care in the 2014/2015 National Institute of Mental Health Director’s Innovation Speaker Series.
Publishing and Assessing the Research of Economists: Lessons from Public Health
Foreign Policy: China Will Run Out of Growth if it Doesn't Fix its Rural Crisis
Foreign Policy: China Will Run Out of Growth if it Doesn't Fix its Rural Crisis
No country with China’s vast education and public health problems has ever broken out of the ranks of middle-income countries.
"At a time when every other major economy is shrinking, China announced in late January that its GDP grew 2.3 percent in 2020. Beneath that impressive achievement, however, lies a very unbalanced recovery: As in the past, Beijing relied heavily on state investment and a state-led push for higher industrial production, while private investment and consumer spending remained weak. Easy credit to fuel growth has likely formed even more so-called zombie companies with little prospect of future profitability and filled the books of Chinese banks with even more bad loans.
That much is familiar to many who have taken a closer look at China’s skewed model for economic growth. What’s much less well known is the disproportionate burden of the COVID-19-induced downturn that has fallen on rural Chinese, including the 290 million migrant workers with rural hukou (household registrations) who work in cities throughout China. Lockdowns forced by the pandemic paralyzed economic sectors where many migrants work, such as services and retail. According to one estimate, Chinese migrant workers lost about $100 billion in wages that they are unlikely ever to recover.
Among migrant workers and the underdeveloped rural communities that depend on the wages they send home, a quiet crisis is taking place—with potentially dramatic consequences for China’s future growth. Despite what the GDP number suggests about the country’s successful handling of the pandemic, China’s longer-term economic risks have only grown—and are a direct result of the crisis in rural China. As Stanford University researchers Scott Rozelle and Natalie Hell document in their meticulously researched book, Invisible China: How the Urban-Rural Divide Threatens China’s Rise, hundreds of millions of rural Chinese face a dangerous lack of human capital and suffer from pervasive health problems, including widespread iron-deficiency anemia, uncorrected myopia, and parasitic intestinal worms. Exacerbated by the pandemic, China’s rural crisis remains largely invisible to outside observers, and even to many Chinese."
Read the full article from Foreign Policy.
Chorzempa & Huang write on China's rural human capital crisis stating that "no country with China's vast education and public health problems has ever broken out of the ranks of middle-income countries." The article references FSI Senior Fellow and SCCEI Director Scott Rozelle's book "Invisible China: How the Urban-Rural Divide Threatens China’s Rise" throughout.