The Tucker Carlson Effect: Tracking Changing Attitudes Toward Russia Among Conservative Americans

The Tucker Carlson Effect: Tracking Changing Attitudes Toward Russia Among Conservative Americans

This memo examines how conservative attitudes toward Russia have evolved in the United States from 2000 to the present. Through an analysis of political rhetoric, media coverage, and public opinion data, we trace key inflection points and factors contributing to these shifts, including the 2016 US presidential election, ideological and strategic alignment between Trump and Putin, America first isolationism, and Russia's ongoing aggression against Ukraine. We find that conservative views on Russia have undergone significant changes, transitioning from viewing Russia as a geopolitical threat in the early 2000s to a more favorable stance during the Trump presidency, followed by a fracture between traditionalist and pro-Trump wings of the Republican Party after 2020. The memo concludes by discussing the domestic and foreign policy implications of these attitudinal shifts.